Avedon finds a way to vote for Obama

vastleft's picture

Sounds like that would work:

I tried not to think about it while I was doing it.

Wouldn't work for yours truly. I'd still be wondering what the part that wasn't thinking wasn't thinking of.

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Some places have Obama so far ahead, a conscience vote can be

considered:

The latest Monmouth University/Gannett New Jersey Poll (PDF):

The Democrat leads by 54% to 35% among all registered voters and has a similar 55% to 38% advantage among those most likely to vote on November 4. Obama has doubled the 8 point lead he held among likely voters last month. Importantly, very few Obama voters indicate that they are likely to change their minds before election day.

The other October New Jersey polls of likely voters show Obama at 55, 50, and 50 and McCain at 40, 42, and 37. The average is 52.5 - 39.3 for a 13 point Obama lead, but note that the two most recent polls agree he has hit 55%.

From Blue Jersey.

gqmartinez's picture

If your vote depends on the outcome do you have two conscienses

I'm still curious.

Only tyrants rig elections.

whaleshaman's picture

defense mechanism employed in response to trauma

Sounds familiarly like dissociation.

pie's picture

There's just no way it would work.

Nope. No freaking way.

amberglow's picture

voting against your own principles--

not good when Republicans do it, and not when Democrats do it either.

gqmartinez's picture

Especially when the GOP is taking over the Democratic Party

Their endorsements are treated as the most amazing thing in the world (Powell). What if Powell endorsed McCain? What would the stories have been there and what would proggers (progbloggers) have been saying?

Only tyrants rig elections.

amberglow's picture

look at Lieberman--he crossed over

and certainly did not get the Powell treatment.

Avedon's picture

Yes, I know, I totally suck.

It didn't even make sense, my state is pretty solidly blue. I should have voted for McKinney. (Hey, at least no one could say I voted for her because I was too racist to vote for the black guy.)

More liberal media at The Sideshow.

More liberal media at The Sideshow.

vastleft's picture

You totally don't suck

Actually, I loved your explanation.

lambert's picture

No suckitude!

But if things fall out the way I think they will, I do claim the right to ask "Say, how's not thinking working out for you?"

Turn about is fair play, of course -- I tend to overthink....

[ ] Very tepidly voting for Obama [ ] ?????. [ ] Any mullah-sucking billionaire-teabagging torture-loving pus-encrusted spawn of Cthulhu, bless his (R) heart.

First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win. -- Mahatma Gandhi

amberglow's picture

yup--suckitude--sorry--

especially if you're in a blue state.

I've been holding my nose too--but those were actual Democrats with accomplishments--Obama isn't--at all.

vastleft's picture

I wonder

How many electoral votes does the UK get, anyway.

amberglow's picture

vast, it was absentee, i think, no?

avedon?

vastleft's picture

Of course, just making the obvious joke

Something I've never done before, y'know.

amberglow's picture

oh

(went over my head, obviously)

: >

Avedon's picture

I'm in Van Hollen's district.

I think of myself as writing from a little house off Beach Drive (just like I used to be). If I don't look out my front door, it could even be true.

More liberal media at The Sideshow.

More liberal media at The Sideshow.

Avedon's picture

Well, you're right, amberglow.

I've had PTSD since 2000.

Maybe I should just go back to writing about sex.

More liberal media at The Sideshow.

More liberal media at The Sideshow.

amberglow's picture

nah--write about everything--

just don't vote against your interests and principles--please.

BDBlue's picture

The Choices Suck, You Don't

There is no good choice here. I'm struggling with what to do myself. Other than not vote for McCain, I still can't decide whether to get drunk, hold my nose and vote for Obama or to go third party or abstain or whatever else I might think of in the voting booth. The choices suck and there's no obvious right answer.

The only thing I know for sure is that I will be voting so that I can vote against Prop 8. I cannot believe it now is barely favored to pass. Thank you for spreading hatred and bigoty, Mormons! I will not forget it the next time you whine about people hating on you because of your religious beliefs. Apparently hating on people is okey-dokey in your book.

"Do what you feel in your heart to be right -- for you'll be criticized anyway. You'll be damned if you do, and damned if you don't. " - Eleanor Roosevelt

amberglow's picture

one PSA from obama could defeat it--

but god forbid he do anything for equal rights, and something democrats want.

lambert's picture

Well, he's got $150 million

So where's the PSA?

[ ] Very tepidly voting for Obama [ ] ?????. [ ] Any mullah-sucking billionaire-teabagging torture-loving pus-encrusted spawn of Cthulhu, bless his (R) heart.

First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win. -- Mahatma Gandhi

tartu's picture

This is not the time* to take sides

http://www.latimes.com/news/local/politi...

Both sides, meanwhile, are contending that Obama would approve of their view.

Somebody might get upset.

*although I am not sure when the time to take sides is for Obama

jjmtacoma's picture

Obama consistently takes sides...

All of them.

bringiton's picture

Plenty of suckitude going around today

But not from Avedon, who once again is due thanks for honesty and openness and thoughtful considered nuance in a tight and brilliant package.

Well done.

bringiton's picture

Obama on California Prop 8

He has clearly and plainly and repeatedly stated that he is opposed to Prop 8.

Matthew 11:15

amberglow's picture

not clearly enough, since it's gonna pass--

and certainly not plainly enough, if both sides think he supports them.

BDBlue's picture

We Don't Know It's Going to Pass

and the polls are still very close, with the latest SUSA 48-45 in favor, but that means the Prop still isn't over 50% (and at one point it was trailing). The prospects look worse than they did a month ago, but I'm not giving up until all the votes are counted. I care more about this prop then I do about any of the races on my ticket because, in many ways, it would change the country more than any races on the ticket.

As for Obama, he may oppose this prop (and good for him),* but he's happy to embrace homophobes (Kmeic, McClurkin) and generally defend separate but equal for gay folks in terms of civil unions instead of marriage. He's done it repeatedly. Overall, he - like most of the leadership in the Democratic Party - is on the wrong side of history of this issue. Whether history will happen this November or not doesn't change the fact that it's going to happen. It also won't change the fact that history will show Obama and most of the political leadership in this country were on the wrong side of it.

* Of course, while Obama was willing to announce his opposition in a letter to an LGBT breakfast (how brave!), it's understandable that some folks might think he supports the prop since he likes to go to places like Rick Warren's church and say things like this:

WARREN: There’s a lot more I’d like to ask on that. We have 15 other questions here. Define marriage.

OBAMA: I believe that marriage is the union between a man and a woman. Now, for me as a Christian — for me — for me as a Christian, it is also a sacred union. God’s in the mix. But –

WARREN: Would you support a Constitutional Amendment with that definition?

OBAMA: No, I would not.

WARREN: Why not?

OBAMA: Because historically — because historically, we have not defined marriage in our constitution. It’s been a matter of state law. That has been our tradition. I mean, let’s break it down. The reason that people think there needs to be a constitutional amendment, some people believe, is because of the concern that — about same-sex marriage. I am not somebody who promotes same-sex marriage, but I do believe in civil unions. I do believe that we should not — that for gay partners to want to visit each other in the hospital for the state to say, you know what, that’s all right, I don’t think in any way inhibits my core beliefs about what marriage are. I think my faith is strong enough and my marriage is strong enough that I can afford those civil rights to others, even if I have a different perspective or different view.

He said it's a state issue and that he believes marriage is between a man and a woman. It's understandable to me that some folks could hear that as support for prop 8 if they weren't aware of Obama's other statement.

If you look at the spokesman's quote in the Sacramento Bee, it appears that Obama's main disagreement with prop 8 is that it's a constitutional amendment. At Warren's church he appeared only to address federal amendments, but it seems he's extended this to state constitutions. However, based on the comments at Warren's he apparently has no problems with states that bar gays from marrying by statute. California did this and that was fine with Obama. It's just that statute has been struck down and so now the only way to do it is through constitutional amendment.

While there is something to be said for not enshrining hatred in a constitution (and good on Obama for recognizing this), it's a distinction without a difference for all the gay and lesbian couple who live in states where there's a statute that prohibits gay marriage.

"Do what you feel in your heart to be right -- for you'll be criticized anyway. You'll be damned if you do, and damned if you don't. " - Eleanor Roosevelt

Prop 8: Opposition voiced on 7/1/08--WORM voiced on 8/16/08. ???

Which statement is the real Obama position? Which is/were just political jujitsu? Who can know?

Where is the Oracle of Obama when we need one?

When will we know? When it's no longer a politically sensitive issue?

Well, silence is assent under the law, right, Professor?

I think I go with those who doubt that he's doing anything to assist the defeat of Prop 8.

I will be delighted to be wrong on this, as usual.

bringiton's picture

What both sides think

The Republicans are liars, remember? All the Pro-8 ads that have been running are filled with lies, thanks to the Mormon cash, and like Dominionists the Mormons by faith believe that it is perfectly acceptable to lie to achieve "God's" ends. Nice bunch all around.

There are individual Mormons who oppose that tenet, the OK to lie sham, but there are many more who see it as scripture. The Church tried to mobilize CA Mormons on this but hardly anyone turned out; they've had to truck people in from Utah to hand out literature and most all of the money (80% of the Pro-8 budget) is coming from Mormon HQ front groups.

Obama's been more than clear, and more than supportive in speaking out against Prop 8. He has a full-time job already; this is California's fight and we need to suck it up and get the job taken care of instead of blaming Obama for every trial and tribulation.

Speaking of which, is Obama just a weakling puppet for Pelosi and Reid, or is he an all-powerful ruler who can change people's minds with a PSA? Somebody's confused here, but it isn't Obama and it isn't me.

amberglow's picture

"to suck it up and get the job taken care of"

-- no--he has to show he gives a shit about rights and equality and take a public stand for them when equality is at risk in a giant state, and will affect the whole country.

that's what leaders do.

he has all the media attention in the world, and has to use it for something other than agreeing with Republicans -- for once.

bringiton's picture

He has said what he needs to

It is my job to walk the blocks and knock on doors and talk sense to people on this, not his.

Lazy to try and blame other people for our own problems and always look to others to lead instead of doing it ourselves. That's exactly the kind of thinking that creates authoritarianism.

If you don't want Obama to be seen as Maximum Leader, stop treating him that way.

Sarah's picture

Well, I've seen a (lack of) help for Noriega in Texas

from the Chosen One, and I've been disappointed by that.

Flying Spaghetti Monster and Ceiling Cat know we need to get Cornyn out of Washington. I think Hutchison might retire (maybe run for Governor). But Cornyn thinks he's God's Gift to the Right, and big oil has financed his delusions.

A swing through Texas -- a whistlestop, dammit, in Houston or Dallas en route somewhere, or a flyby from Michelle or Joe Biden (especially Biden, for me, 'cause for me personally Joe Biden has more and better chops as an experienced campaigner than does Michelle Obama) would help Rick Noriega no freaking end.

Will Obama lift a finger? Will he run a commercial in Texas? So far (maybe because Hillary kicked his @$$ in Texas?) the answer is no.

Am I surprised? No.
Am I disappointed? Is it damp at the bottom of the Marianas Trench?

We can admit that we’re killers … but we’re not going to kill today. That’s all it takes! Knowing that we’re not going to kill today! ~ Captain James T. Kirk, Stardate 3193.0
1 John 4:18


We can admit that we’re killers … but we’re not going to kill today. That’s all it takes! ~ Captain James T. Kirk, Stardate 3193.0

1 John 4:18

pie's picture

You're going to be disappointed, even angry, BIO.

Speaking of which, is Obama just a weakling puppet for Pelosi and Reid, or is he an all-powerful ruler who can change people’s minds with a PSA? Somebody’s confused here, but it isn’t Obama and it isn’t me.

That's a good thing. Take care of yourself.

bringiton's picture

Low expectations

I think I see Obama pretty clearly, and yes I will no doubt be disappointed in some ways, but then I'm not hoping for much. Truly, if all he can get done is a start on curbing CO2 emissions and properly pronounce "nuclear" he will have done all I can reasonably hope for.

Take care of yourself too, pie. We have a long hard road ahead of us.

pie's picture

I know.

But there are too many in this country who are being left behind. I am talking primarily about education.

I see that as important as the environmental issues (understanding that if Earth dies, so do we all).

Whatever happens, we need to get more people on the bus, not under it.

amberglow's picture

the soft bigotry of low expectations

that's what it is -- in all ways.

bringiton's picture

Are you accusing me of being a bigot?

Or is it that you have no clue at all what that phrase actually means?

lambert's picture

Hey, I'm a racist too!

It's warm here under the bus! Welcome!

[ ] Very tepidly voting for Obama [ ] ?????. [ ] Any mullah-sucking billionaire-teabagging torture-loving pus-encrusted spawn of Cthulhu, bless his (R) heart.

First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win. -- Mahatma Gandhi

bringiton's picture

I refuse to get under the bus

Not giving up my seat, not for anybody, but thanks for the warm gesture of welcome.

Think of me as Rosa Parks in drag.

amberglow's picture

you're telling us to get to the back of the bus--

it's bigotry, plain and simple.

You speak of "eyes on the prize" while meaning one man's election alone, and not in terms of rights.

You talk of "our children's children", when the threat to newly-gained and fragile opportunity is now--not 50 years from now.

caseyOR's picture

Things I have heard

from friends working on No on Prop 8 campaign lead me to believe that Obama could, in fact, have a very big effect on this campaign. Apparently, the increase in AA and Latino voters coming out to vote for Obama tends to favor passage of Prop 8. These Obama voters will vote for Prop 8. A forceful statement from Obama, to everyone not just some LGBT group, could sway those voters. If Obama really cared about not enshrining bigotry in the constitution he would make that very, very clear. And he has not.

Obama could really help turn this around. And, given the current state of the presidential campaign it wouldn't cost him much at all to take a real stand. That is, if he really believes Prop 8 is wrong.

bringiton's picture

If you feel that strongly, casey

have you written about it to Obama? An email doesn't cost anything but time.

The danger, such as it may be, for a stronger stance on Prop 8 isn't with the CA vote; it will go Obama regardless. The impact could be in states like New Mexico and Colorado where the conservative Latino vote is trending in Obama's favor right now but on an economic basis only; the “values” issues only push them back into Republican hands. There are other states, like Virginia and Missouri and Iowa and even Ohio and PA where the white evangelical vote has shifted towards Obama enough to matter and a very public statement about GLBT rights now could push them away too.

Obama’s made his position clear, and he has a real struggle on his hands full time already. As much as the Obamaphobes would like him to drop the campaign for president and instead tend to every other possible issue on a state and local level so McCain has a better chance of winning, he isn't going to do that - he has his eyes on the prize, where they should be.

We have plenty of people right here in CA to defeat Prop 8 if we get busy and make our case. My little town is a microcosm of the challenge, with a large Catholic Latino population that is ready to vote for Obama but will probably also vote for Prop 8. I take it as my job to go out and talk sense into them, on the basis of bigotry and equal rights which they want for themselves when it comes to skin color and cultural heritage. Isn't it only fair then that all Americans have equal rights?

I don't need Obama for that. I need him for Step 1, to kick the Republicans out of office.

pie's picture

You know what really sucks?

I saw an ad against Michigan's Prop 2 tonight - it's designed to relax the rules on embryonic stem cell research. The AA-sounding man talked about the Tuskegee experimentation while showing pictures from that era. He said that stem cell research would go too far.

Repulsive doesn't begin to describe the ad or the people paying for it.

Obama obviously isn't addressing it. He doesn't have to. They'll vote for him anyway.

amberglow's picture

"eyes on the prize"

that doesn't mean what you think it means --the prize is always equal rights and opportunity--not ever one man's election.

your repeated use of phrases from the civil rights era against an issue of civil rights and for the election of someone who won't lift a finger for equality is appalling.

bringiton's picture

Dictionary by amberglow

Let me know when you get to the Zzzzzzzzzzs.

Aeryl's picture

You dance with them that brung you, BIO

Who would you rather have as your allies as you try to enact progressive polices? A committed liberal like me, who feels that fighting for the equality for the LGBTQ community is a reason I could vote for Obama, or some conservative evangelical, who will expect Obama to restrict abortion rights and support wingnut judges, in exchange for their support.

I want Obama to eschew the support of evangelical dominionists, in favor of people like me, but it's not happening, which is why he doesn't get my vote.

The reason the Dems have been losing presidential elections, is not because they aren't conservative enough, but because they aren't committed to their own ideals enough. When faced with the choice between a real republican, or a democrat posing as one, the real republican win every time.

I guess it's gonna take one more electoral loss for them to figure that out.

i can haz hillary nao?

He who will not reason is a bigot; he who cannot is a fool; and he who dares not is a slave.
- Sir William Drummond

vastleft's picture

Of course, the conditions are so favorable to the Dems

That Obama won't lose, and the wrong lessons will learned.

bringiton's picture

Dancing as fast as I can

I don't view Obama as an ally, per se, although he still could turn into one. I expect him to be what he appears to be, a centrist/conservative incrementalist who is also a basically decent person in the sense that a Bill Clinton is a decent person and as opposed to a GWBush who is not.

Obama for me is a tool, the only tool at hand with which to pry the Republican Party out of the White House. You want more from him than that, not me, and so there we differ.

Progressive change will not come from the top down. It will come from the bottom up, by doing the pick-and-shovel work of electing school boards and city councils and state representatives and House members that are Progressive, and amassing enough of a power base within the political sphere that we can bargain with centrists like Obama. It is impossible to bargain with the Right; electing a centrist, someone who will bow to pressure, is in my estimation a big step forward from where we are.

vastleft's picture

Except, BIO, that

Obama has shown a heroic ability to resist being influenced by progressives. This influence happens how and when? According to your formulation, it occurs after we as citizens make the need for and opportunity to enact progressive reforms so obvious and easy that Obama will deign to do so. What more could I ask from a president in a time of crisis?

bringiton's picture

Ask all you want, VL

What I'm saying is that you aren't going to get it until you take it. We will get what we want by revolution, not by beneficence. I only hope we can do it peacefully.

Obama is not the be-all end-all, but he is a step back from the abyss. Considering where we stand today, I will take that step and be grateful for it.

I have blocks to walk today, and pamphleteering to do at the local mall until they kick me out. Prop 8 is still losing, 52-44 in yesterday's poll, but too close for comfort. Have good day, my friend, I'll check back in when my feet get tired.

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