Submitted by Richard Charnin on Fri, 11/19/2010 - 5:26pm
2010 Midterms Analysis: House Generic, Senate RV/ LV Polls, Exit Polls vs. Recorded Vote
Richard Charnin (TruthIsAll)
Nov. 16, 2010
http://richardcharnin.com/2010SenateMidt...
The 2010 midterms are history. The typical reaction of the pundits is to promote the conventional wisdom that it was a GOP blowout of epic proportions - even bigger than 1994. Yes, the party in power nearly always loses seats in the midterms. The unconventional wisdom is that the Democrats do significantly better than the recorded vote indicates in every election. There is no reason to suspect that 2010 was any different. Read below the fold...
Submitted by Richard Charnin on Tue, 11/02/2010 - 5:15pm
http://richardcharnin.com/2010ElectionFo...
11/01 Final 2010 Midterms Forecast: RV/LV Polls and Election Fraud
Richard Charnin (TruthIsAll)
The 2010 House and Senate Forecast Models are based on a comprehensive analysis of Registered Voter (RV) and Likely Voter (LV) polls.
The LV Model predicts a 234-201 GOP House and a 50-48 Democratic Senate. Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball predicts a 233-202 GOP House and a 49-49 Senate. Electoral-vote.com has a 51-48-1 Democratic Senate and a 217-200 GOP House with 18 ties. But the registered voter (RV) projections tell a different story.
The Democrats lead the weighted average of 18 Senate RV polls by 8.5%. They lead the corresponding LV sub-samples by 0.9%.
The RV projections indicate a 53-45 Democratic Senate. Read below the fold...
