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Obama's Sour "Apples to Apples", Part One

Barack Obama is hemmorhaging support against John McCain in states where Democrats can/should win in November. Read more about Obama's Sour "Apples to Apples", Part One

Gangbangers for Obama (a parody)

"By the way, when I get collect calls from prison and the like (I get wa-a-ay too many for the health of my phone bill), lately I always ask the guys who of the three candidates they prefer. Most (but not all), say Barack Obama."

"Journalist" and professional Obama shill, Celeste Fremon, writing in the comments section (#77) on her blog.

I mean this story pretty much writes itself...

MURDERERS, RAPISTS, THEIVES, MUGGERS, GANGBANGERS ALL FOR OBAMA

By Calloussed Fremon Read more about Gangbangers for Obama (a parody)

"Off the Bus" goes "Off the Rails"

(UPDATE...JAY ROSEN, CREATOR OF PRESSTHINK AND CO-PUBLISHER OF OTB, HAS MADE IT CLEAR THAT OTB HAD NOTHING TO DO WITH THE WRITING, EDITING, OR PRESENTATION OF THE STORY IN QUESTION -- and I believe him. )

"Off the Bus" is a joint venture by Jay (Pressthink) Rosen and Ariana Huffington that encourages "citizen's journalism." The idea is that us "little people" can attend campaign events, and report them, just as well as the corporate media.

Recently, Off the Bus made news when an Obama supporter, Mayhill Fowler, reported on remarks made by Obama at a San Francisco fundraiser -- the "bitter/clinging" controversy. Rosen addressed the controversy over at Pressthink, explaining the care and attention given to Fowler's piece. Read more about "Off the Bus" goes "Off the Rails"

I Did Not... “Have Sex With That Woman”/”Hear That Specific Statement”

Or
Why Jeremiah Wright is Obama’s Monica

Last night, we saw exactly why Barack Obama has a Jeremiah Wright problem. Just as Bill Clinton “lied” to us about Monica Lewinsky by telling us something that may be true but was clearly meant to deceive us, Obama is hiding behind the closely parsed “specific statement” defense to deflect criticism of his relationship with Pastor Jeremiah Wright.

I didn’t care that Bill Clinton was fellated by Monica Lewinsky. And I don’t care that Barack Obama came to terms with what it really means to be “Black in America” because Jeremiah Wright helped him to understand it. As far as racial issues are concerned, I share Wright’s perspective, and think that what Obama is telling America is pure pandering. Read more about I Did Not... “Have Sex With That Woman”/”Hear That Specific Statement”

Political Psychology: Obama, Sexism, and the Infantile Id

THE POISONED LANDSCAPE -- RACE, GENDER, & ELECTION 2008

Thread: 

Part 4 of Misogyny, Sexism, & the Gender Gap in the 2008 Election

In choosing a nominee, the Democratic Party will not merely be deciding who deserves to win, or who would make the best candidate. It will also be a decision about which poisoned landscape the Party wishes to compete upon --- one in which toxic wildflowers of misogyny and sexism are in full bloom, or one in which the poisonous weed of racism is a constant part of the environment, and needs the merest watering to completely despoil the land. Read more about THE POISONED LANDSCAPE -- RACE, GENDER, & ELECTION 2008

Misogyny, Sexism, & the Gender Gap in the 2008 Election--Part 3

MISOGYNY SEXISM, & THE 2008 ELECTIONS—PART 2

REGIONAL COMPARISONS & BEST AND WORST STATES

The individual state cross tables from the SUSA 50 state general election poll demonstrate how the gender gap determines the winner in a very large number of states. But there is considerable variation between states themselves and within regions. Much of the variation appears to be related to other factors, such as race and racism, and how liberal/conservative a state is. Read more about MISOGYNY SEXISM, & THE 2008 ELECTIONS—PART 2

Misogyny, Sexism, & the Gender Gap in the 2008 Election

[Welcome, Pollster.com readers!]

Misogyny, sexism, and the gender gap are alive and well in the American electorate.

Overall, men prefer McCain over either Democrat, while women prefer either Democrat over McCain. But the gender gap widens considerably when a woman is running. When McCain is matched with Obama, the gap is 13.9% (comprising 7% of voters), but when it is McCain versus Clinton, the gap nearly doubles to 26.9% (comprising 13.5% of voters.)

The expansion of the gender gap is due almost entirely to changes in how men vote. Only a few more women (1.6%, comprising 0.9% of all voters) prefer Clinton when matched with McCain than when Obama is matched with McCain—women pretty much stick with the Democrat regardless of whether its Clinton or Obama.

Read more about Misogyny, Sexism, & the Gender Gap in the 2008 Election

Is Obama more electable?

UPDATE: I've created some new tables that show how much of the undecided vote the candidates need to win each state. Read more about Is Obama more electable?

Count Whose Vote 2: Independents vs Moderates

ABSTRACT: Based on available exit polling from states that held primary elections, while Obama dominates the "Independent" voter, Hillary Clinton actually does slightly better among "Moderate" voters— and this is even more true in crucial swing states. The data suggests that a more comprehensive review of all such "electability" factors is required.

Data tables and an explanation of the methodology employed can be found here. [scroll down]. Major thanks to Lambert for all his help with this piece! Read more about Count Whose Vote 2: Independents vs Moderates

Count WHOSE Vote 1.5

Just for giggles, I decided to look at the data from my "Count Whose Vote?" piece, from the perspective of the electoral college.

Basically, I took the popular vote gap from each primary, multiplied it by the electoral college vote in each state, and added the whole thing up.

Unsurprisingly, Clinton comes out well ahead -- 17.3% better without Michigan/Florida, and 27.5% better with Michigan/Florida. Read more about Count WHOSE Vote 1.5

"Independents" and the Myth of Electability

Much has been written and said about the ability of Barack Obama to “attract Independents”, and how that translates into good news for his electability in November. But no one ever mentions that there is a huge difference between “Independents” and “Moderates”. Independents, as defined by the exits polls, are all over the map in terms of ideology, and include not just people who are “moderates” (that is, those who think that Democrats are too liberal and Republicans too conservative), but also “third” parties (Greens, Libertarians), individuals who are disaffected from the political system, and those on the ideological fringes who think the Democrats and Republicans are too “centrist.” Read more about "Independents" and the Myth of Electability

Will the McCain Nomination Kill More Iraqis and Americans?

Last September 10, as David Petraeus was giving Congress a rosy evaluation of the situation in Iraq, a poll of Iraqi public opinion was released that belied Petraeus’ reporting. The poll received little attention amid the media’s love-fest for David Petraeus. But the findings of the poll should send shivers down the spine of anyone concerned with the lives of Iraqis and American in Iraq. Read more about Will the McCain Nomination Kill More Iraqis and Americans?

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