Campaign Updates and Media Headlines 9/8/08

Closing in: Real Clear Politics

Poll: Convention lifts McCain over Obama (USA Today)
WASHINGTON — The Republican National Convention has given John McCain and his party a significant boost, a USA TODAY/Gallup Poll taken over the weekend shows, as running mate Sarah Palin helps close an "enthusiasm gap" that has dogged the GOP all year. McCain leads Democrat Barack Obama by 50%-46% among registered voters, the Republican's biggest advantage since January and a turnaround from the USA TODAY poll taken just before the convention opened in St. Paul. Then, he lagged by 7 percentage points.

The convention bounce has helped not only McCain but also attitudes toward Republican congressional candidates and the GOP in general… McCain has narrowed Obama's wide advantage on handling the economy, by far the electorate's top issue. Before the GOP convention, Obama was favored by 19 points; now he's favored by 3… In the new poll, taken Friday through Sunday, McCain leads Obama by 54%-44% among those seen as most likely to vote. [Emphasis added in all cases.]

McCain Beats Obama in TV Ratings (by SusanUnPC at No Quarter)
John McCain has topped Barack Obama. “McCain TV Ratings Beat Obama in Preliminary Numbers” at TVWeek.com, via Memeorandum.com: “Across all broadcast networks Thursday, Sen. McCain’s speech ended the night with a 4.8 rating/7 share, compared to Sen. Obama’s 4.3/7 average.”
People are clearly looking for an alternative to Obama.—Caro

SurveyUSA: More Americans Think McCain Will Win
A new SurveyUSA poll shows Sen. John McCain leads Sen. Barack Obama, 49% to 44%, among respondents who were asked "if you were placing a bet today" who do you think will be elected president?
What to do, what to do? Oh, I know, RUN TO DADDY! See below.—Caro

Obama plans extended meeting with Bill Clinton (AP)
WASHINGTON - Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama plans to lunch with former President Clinton this week in what will be their first extended face-to-face meeting since the bitter primary season.
I hope the Big Dog reams him another one. Oh, and what else to do? Why, RUN TO MOMMY, TOO! But will Mommy cooperate?—Caro

The Real ’08 Fight: Clinton v. Palin? (New York Times)
Mrs. Clinton is heading to Florida on Monday to campaign for Mr. Obama. And while his advisers expect her to serve as a counterweight to the McCain-Palin ticket, Clinton advisers are emphatic that Mrs. Clinton does not plan to attack Ms. Palin. [Emphasis added.] Whether that remains the case through the fall is an open question, especially if Ms. Palin starts doing as well with, say, women who watch “The View” as Mrs. Clinton did… How much Mrs. Clinton wants to help Mr. Obama is another matter. Some of her aides note with a hint of resentment that Mr. Obama did not pick her as his running mate; he did not even vet her fully. Plus, they add, her fall calendar also includes campaigning for Senate Democratic candidates, not just for Mr. Obama.

Hillary Campaigns in Florida for Obama, but Will She Take On Palin? (by Jake Tapper at Political Punch, ABC News)
At New York City's annual Labor Day parade and in Staten Island Saturday, Clinton was asked about Palin. She demurred… Clinton "only mentioned Palin by name once during the day, at the labor breakfast, when she uttered a modified version of a line from her speech at the Democratic National Convention. 'No way, no how, no McCain, no Palin,' she said." There are Obama supporters who feel Clinton needs to make a strong case against Palin. And they are intrigued -- and troubled -- by the fact that she won't.
Go blow, troubled Obama supporters.—Caro

Click here for more political and media news headlines.

Carolyn Kay
MakeThemAccountable.com

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Election markets

I was pretty sure McCain would win the GOP nomination in the summer of 2007 when he was trading really low. If only I had bought some McCain stock then. And I thought McCain would beat Obama the entire time, even when Obama had huge leads in the markets.

Now if only I had the same insight for my Fantasy Football team.

Or the stock market.

Or the commodity markets.

Can anyone explain the rationale for this?????

From today's Progress Report:

"In a move that will spare conservatives from a politically difficult vote before the November elections, "congressional Democrats have scrapped plans for another vote on expansion of the Children's Health Insurance Program." Democrats concluded "that President Bush would not sign their legislation and that they could not override his likely veto." Bush has already twice vetoed similar legislation."

Is the "Democratic" candidate not running AGAINST the Republicans? Is the "Health Care for All Kids" plank yet another piece of dryrot timber in a fauxward-reaching campaign platform?

In a GE are we really going to make a conscious effort to avoid making it difficult for our political opponents to defend their policies?

Silly me! When you can photoshop phony pics to insult the other side, why would you stoop to challenging them on policy? Yeah, yeah... we're all about change.

Post-Partisanship

Unless I've totally taken leave of my senses, this is being done because Obama really, really believes all the nonsense he's been saying about not fighting with Republicans in nasty partisan battles. The plan is, I assume, that if Obama is elected, he will want Dems. to sit down with Republicans and work out a nice plan that doesn't try to do anything that the Republicans object to.

which is why there's no point in

voting for anyone who is pre-emptively caving on vital things like healthcare.

there's no way that behavior should be rewarded and given Executive power if no fights are the goal.

07-SCHIP- "key campaign issue" & the GOP "would pay a price" -

http://www.usnews.com/usnews/politics/bu... -- "... On the House floor, "Democrats told Republicans they would pay a political price for their opposition." The Los Angeles Times notes "a total of 44 Republicans voted to override, one fewer than the 45 who voted to pass the legislation two weeks ago. ... Many GOP lawmakers echoed Bush's concern that the bill would go too far in giving states the option to also help some middle-class families."

The White House and some Republicans yesterday called for talks aimed at crafting a compromise, but media coverage suggests Democrats are in no mood to cede ground on what they view as a potent political issue for them. In fact, some reports suggest the GOP's eagerness to reach a deal with Democrats may be an acknowledgement of their weakened position on what could become a key campaign issue next year. ..."

Consider the ground ceded.

Just saying...

We've seen how elusive "unity" is after the smear job.

I don't see how any sentient being can expect an opponent to sit down and negotiate in good faith with someone who has fought dirty.

Senators and Representatives of different ideological viewpoints and widely differing constituencies used to (and could again) engage in vigorous, highly charged debate (sometimes giving birth to ((yikes)) "progressive" legislation, and still be friends at the end of the day.

For all the high-blown rhetoric, the Dems are waging a "fling as much dirt as you can invent" campaign. Talk, even of "hope and change", is cheap. The "politics of personal destruction" is embraced on behalf of Obama: by supporters, the media, the DNC, the backroom boyz, and sometimes (brushes his shoulder, scrapes his shoe, scratches his face) by the candidate himself.

This year, it's the Dems who have poisoned the well, guaranteeing NO change of tone in D.C.

Either they're very stupid, or they have no intention of pursuing Universal Health Care, or any other "common good" goal.

My guess? It's the latter.

I'm sorry, but

if the Obama campaign wants Clinton to run against Palin they should have put her on the ticket.

It's Clinton's choice to support Obama. It's Biden's job, as the VP candidate, to compete against Palin.

------------------------
In a perfect world, it'd be great to have all the votes cast as they were earned, but that would not be in the best interest of the Democratic party. - DNC supporter after the 2008 roll call

In a perfect world, it'd be great to have all the votes cast as they were earned, but that would not be in the best interest of the Democratic party. - DNC supporter after the 2008 roll call

Or they should ask. Message is all up to the Obama campaign

I think the demand that Hillary go freelancing around is absurd on its face, and the usual suspects would go nuts if she did. Anyhow, message discipline is up to the Obama campaign, not the surrogates. And I'm hard pressed to think of something she hasn't done, when asked. Speech in support? Check. Release the delegates? Check. And so on.

[ ] Very tepidly voting for Obama [ ] ?????. [ ] Any mullah-sucking billionaire-teabagging torture-loving pus-encrusted spawn of Cthulhu, bless his (R) heart.

"First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win." -- Mahatma Gandhi

she's already done far far more than even ex-presidents--

let alone primary #2s.

Caro, I want to be your book buddie. You do the bestest job

I love this job!

I love this job!

Thanks, elixir,

But what's a Book Buddie?

PA & MI shouldn't be blue on that map,

i don't think...it should be like OH.

CO too--the evangelicals are all excited now

and there are tons and tons there.

also backing away from reversing Bush's taxcuts on rich--

Obama: Recession could delay rescinding tax cuts -- http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5isOFw...

(and of course, the administration is handing off the recession to the next.)

Colorado blue?

Since when?

Wonder what Bill is going to say to Obama during their meeting on Thursday.

Biden Walks Back Holding Bush Accountable

Via Chris Floyd, with the help of Fox News, Joe Biden explained how when he talked about holding the Administration accountable* he didn't mean actually charging anyone, especially George W. Bush, with a crime. Biden responded to this statement "if you guys are elected...you're actually going to pursue criminal charges against President Bush's administration and different people that served there" by saying:

"That's not true," Biden immediately replied. "I don't know where that report's coming from. What is true is the United States Congress is trying to preserve records on questions that relate to whether or not the law has been violated by anyone. Anybody should be doing that."

Biden emphasized that "no one's talking about President Bush. ... I've never heard anybody mention President Bush in that context." He noted that "there's been an awful lot of unsavory stuff that's gone on ... but I have no evidence of any of that. No one's talking about pursuing President Bush criminally."

Biden concluded his comments by explaining that possible misdeeds are "being looked into now, just so it never happens again in any other administration. ... The Obama-Biden administration is not going to start off saying, 'God, let's go take a look at what this --.' The American people want to know what we're going to do, not what happened."

When I first read Biden's comments, I was happy, not because I believed him, but because this kind of talk has a way of taking on a life of its own as a number of people pointed out at the time. Even if Obama/Biden doesn't plan on doing a damned thing, talking about it has a way of getting other people to talk about it.

But now we see it's unlikely there will be much more talking coming from Joe Biden. The SCLM** has pushed back against it. And whenever Democrats are faced with a choice of taking on the media or following their lead, they always opt to go along with the media.

The good news is that, despite his mealy-mouthed walk back here, it would appear that Joe Biden knows that crimes have been committed by the Bush Administration (which is more than Nancy Pelosi will admit). The bad news is that it's going to take a lot of pressure to get these people to do anything about them beyond prosecuting a couple of more Lindy Englands.

* There was a Corrente post on the initial Biden statement, but damned if I can find it.

** This time it was Fox, but I can easily see people from any number of other networks doing exactly the same thing. Our media is killing us.

"Do what you feel in your heart to be right -- for you'll be criticized anyway. You'll be damned if you do, and damned if you don't. " - Eleanor Roosevelt

An Outsider's Perspective

Via the Left Coaster, I thought this take by a non-American at FDL on both conventions (too much god, family and military) was interesting.

"Do what you feel in your heart to be right -- for you'll be criticized anyway. You'll be damned if you do, and damned if you don't. " - Eleanor Roosevelt

Outsider's Perspective

This is a terrific piece. Thanks very much for pointing it out. His take on Americans' almost obsessive focus on families is something I hadn't thought of before.

For those who haven't read it, the Canadian writer think's it's because the U.S. safety net is so weak that families are a much more critical backstop than they are elsewhere in the modern world. He goes so far as to liken it to earlier tribal societies, in fact.

This is really worth a read, folks.

I Found That Observation Interesting, Too

Glad you enjoyed the piece.

"Do what you feel in your heart to be right -- for you'll be criticized anyway. You'll be damned if you do, and damned if you don't. " - Eleanor Roosevelt

Don't blame me, I voted for Hillary

It was as obvious in January that Obama would be a weak and caving candidate as it is now. But I was called a racist for pointing that out.

totally obvious--millions of us saw it, but

were shouted down/marginalized by delusional people seeing what wasn't there.

interesting--"phantom menace" --

http://blogs.tnr.com/tnr/blogs/the_stump... -- "... Palin is such a sensation, and draws such large crowds, that anything she says--particularly attacks on Obama--immediately become part of the campaign conversation. On the other hand, both because she has a knack for delivering barbs with a smile, and because voters don't quite see her as presidential material, McCain suffers less blowback than he would if a more traditional running mate were saying the same things. Simply put, Palin has a much bigger megaphone than traditional running mates, but gets held to a lower standard.

That's a huge problem for the Obama campaign. ...

And when you do respond--say, when Obama points out that she's been making stuff up--there's very little impact, because no one's conditioning their support for McCain on Palin. Call her the phantom menace. ..."

Not only that, but nobody's conditioning their support...

... for Palin on whether she makes stuff up or not.

She's doing a populism of resentment -- which has worked for the Republicans for years. Reagan, for example, lied all the time, except they were called anecdotes.

Worse, our tribunes of the people have made accusations that turned out not to be true, so the truth/lies water is muddy.

Maybe we could talk about the economy, now?

[ ] Very tepidly voting for Obama [ ] ?????. [ ] Any mullah-sucking billionaire-teabagging torture-loving pus-encrusted spawn of Cthulhu, bless his (R) heart.

"First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win." -- Mahatma Gandhi

they both say "tax cuts" as solution for economy--

next topic?

: <

She's very like Reagan, too

because she does it with a grin and a chuckle and a wink, although she does have a slightly harder edge. I think this is the sunniest, most-Reagan-like politician we've seen on either side.

they want Obama to Sister Souljah us more --

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/article... -- "...But Obama has not done one thing that I was sure he would do by now -- one thing that could have already improved his prospects in the fall. He needs to find an issue or controversy with which he strongly disagrees with his party -- or with a core Democratic constituency group -- to prove to swing voters that he's not merely another elitist Northern liberal.

Obama talks a good game about disagreeing without being disagreeable and about coming together to solve the nation's problems. But Republicans have rather successfully portrayed him as a man who is all talk and no action. And, they are sure to say, when he takes action, it's predictably liberal.

I thought for sure that by now Obama would have found an issue or two to break with his anti-war left or with his labor union allies or with his environmental allies. But so far he hasn't found that Sister Souljah moment that grabs the nation's attention, causes real upset among some of his supporters and proves his political independence. He may need to find one to guarantee victory in the fall. ..."

i bet they all start saying this now....ugh...and that they don't realize just how much he's done this already.

Anyone Notice

how the electoral map is so much like the recent past?

What happened to all that Obama changing the map thing?

Amazing what suckers the OFB is.