Can we afford the rich any more?

Nouriel Roubini Nouriel Roubini explains the financial food chain:

How will financial institutions make money now that the securitization food chain is broken?

Let’s consider in more detail this loan origination and securitization chain for residential mortgages, commercial real estate mortgages and leveraged loans financing LBOs…

Think of this fee generation process along this long food chain: it started with mortgage brokers whose income/fee was based on maximizing the volume of mortgages being generated and approved; they had all the incentive to ignore the creditworthiness of the borrowers and maximize mortgage volume and their personal income. The fee generation machine then passed to the bank originating the mortgage that was packaging these mortgages into MBS and thus making a fee in this process and transferring the risk down the line to someone else; again the bank care little about the quality of it own origination as it was transferring the credit risk. The fee generation machine included the home appraisers who were being paid by the mortgage originators and had all the incentive to inflate the appraised value of the home to get more and more fees and more and more business; this fee machine also included the mortgage servicers who got fat fees from servicing the mortgages and getting even fatter fees when the hapless borrower falls behind in its mortgage payments and who thus have no incentive to prevent foreclosure. The securitization food chain continued with the investment banks slicing and dicing the MBS into the equity, mezzanine and senior tranches of CDOs and making fat fees on that process and on managing such CDOs. The fees compounded when the CDOs became CDOs of CDO (CDO squared) and CDOs of CDOs of CDOs (CDO cubed). Then the rating agencies that blessed these CDOs chains and tranches with AAA rating were getting their fat fees (and most of their profits) from rating – or better misrating - these toxic products and converting – via voodoo magic –bundles of BBB subprime mortgages into AAA rated tranches of CDOs. Along this fee generation machine the monoline insurers were making fat fees insuring these toxic instruments and providing additional AAA blessing on this garbage and trash. And finally if this garbage of CDOs (or CDOs cubed) was not fully distributed to clueless and greedy investors banks created off-balance sheet SIVs and conduits that would buy the leftover trash that no investor wanted to touch and repackaged it into structures that were financed with the most short term ABCP; these SIVs were then blessed with credit enhancement and guarantees of liquidity lines from the banks that made them de facto on balance sheet items even if they were de jure off balance sheet; but there were extra fat fees to be made from managing this toxic SIVs and conduits and thus the fee generation machine kept on rolling.

In this securitization food chain – or better scam - every institution made a fee and transferred the credit risk down the line. Then no wonder the credit risk was transferred to those who were the least able to understand it: somehow greedy and clueless investors searching for yield bought tranches of instruments – CDO or CDO cubed – that were new, exotic, complex, illiquid, marked-to-model rather than marked-to-market and misrated by the rating agencies. Who could then ever be able to correctly price or value a CDO cubed? And for all the talk about the benefits of financial innovation what was the social value of a CDO cubed? There was indeed zero social value in this type of financial innovation that is closer to a con game than to a financial product of any use.

So now that this credit house of cards has collapsed this securitization food chain is effectively dead and the process of generating fees - and thus profits – for financial institutions is severely hampered: fees are collapsing for mortgage brokers, home appraisers, mortgage originators, mortgage servicers, CDO managers, monoline insurers, rating agencies, SIV managers and so on.

So how will all these financial institutions generate revenues and profits now that this effective scam has mostly collapsed?

Sharks gotta keep swimming, right? And there's at least one very, very obvious answer:

Social Security privatization. Right?

Comments

media break up

So how will all these financial institutions generate revenues and profits now that this effective scam has mostly collapsed?

break up of the media. The parts of the media are more valuable than the sum. Break up TimeWarner into its magazine, cable TV, internet service providers, entertainment division, and so on. You could use the resulting cash to pay off the bond holders and still have money to invest in the new separate companies. This would be very complitcated, so lots of fees would be involved. At some point the logic of the Great Deconstruction will assert itself.

G-Dub says "cut taxes and de-reg-a-late"

cuz his daddy's friends told him so.

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“The problem with the French is they don't have a word for "entrepreneur" - Der Chimp

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“I don't belong to any organized political party. I'm a Democrat.” - Will Rogers

how to make money for goldman-sachs?

privatize social security?

Have you noticed

Your date and time stamp is off? It says Tue, 5-20. Maybe you are just ahead of your time.

Can we afford the rich any more?

No.

Elliot Lake

can we afford the rich any more?

of course we can

so long as we tax them much more heavily than now.

think of the suprerich as a herd of cash cows waiting to be milked for society's benefit.

better schools, shorter yachts.

tax the very rich sufficiently to fund a national health insurance plan for all needy citizens.

Howzabout "Money trees" ready to be harvested?

To quote Aerosmith: "Eat the rich"

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“The Clintons' biggest failure is that they couldn't get their own party to support them.” - Bartcop

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“I don't belong to any organized political party. I'm a Democrat.” - Will Rogers

we're bailing them out--again-as usual--

billions and billions of our money is going to them in giant bailouts and other rewards for their games--

Media Overlook Fed Bailout in Plain View
-- "Can’t the media find any economists who don’t think that handing hundreds of billions of taxpayer dollars to the big banks and the incredibly rich people who own and manage them is a good idea? Apparently not, given the coverage so far to the Fed’s proposal to lend $200 billion to the banks using mortgage backed securities as collateral. ..."

Fed auctions $7.2B in Treasury securities -- "The U.S. Federal Reserve has auctioned $7.2 billion in safe Treasury securities to big investment firms, part of an ongoing effort to ease credit stresses.

The auction -- the eighth of its kind ... In Thursday's auction, investment firms paid an interest rate of 0.1000 percent for a slice of the securities. ..."

If We Had a Functioning Justice Department

this could keep the fraud section busy for years, not to mention the SEC and private litigation.

Drexel began to unravel in 1986 and was out of business by 1988. I was still working on SEC and private litigation connected to Drexel's fall in the mid-1990s.

While I don't do that work now, I have to confess the recent turn of events makes me reconsider going back into that business, only this time as a plaintiff's attorney. There's money to be made and wrongs to right, a rarer combination than civil litigators - plaintiff and defense - like to admit.

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