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ObamaCare throws 460,000 children under the bus

Times editorial:

The problem arises from murky language in the law. It says a worker cannot get taxpayer-subsidized coverage on the new health insurance exchanges, starting in 2014, unless the cost of employer-based health coverage for that worker exceeds 9.5 percent of the worker’s household income.

Both the I.R.S. and the Congressional Joint Committee on Taxation have interpreted the law to consider only the cost of covering the individual employee in calculating the 9.5 percent, not the much higher cost for a family plan.

Although some analysts had offered persuasive legal and social arguments for adopting a more expansive and generous interpretation of what the law requires, the strict interpretation prevailed in a final rule issued by the I.R.S. last week.

There is no doubt that this pinched approach will put a significant number of workers and their dependents in a bind. A Kaiser Family Foundation survey found that in 2012, employees’ annual share of insurance premiums averaged $951 for individual coverage and $4,316 for family coverage. Under the I.R.S. rule, such costs would be considered affordable for an employee with a household income of $35,000 a year — making the employee’s spouse and children ineligible for a public subsidy on a health exchange, even though that family would have to spend 12 percent of its income for the employer’s family plan.

Estimates made in 2011 by respected research organizations suggested that some 2 million to 3.9 million non-working spouses and dependents would be harmed by the strict ruling. Looking only at children who were uninsured but supposed to gain coverage under health care reform, the Government Accountability Office estimated last June that 460,000 might remain uninsured because of the affordability definition, and that 1.9 million might stay uninsured if an existing children’s health insurance program is phased out as currently planned. This outcome is exactly the opposite of what health care reform is supposed to achieve.

If you think that ObamaCare was about "health care" reform, yes, it is the opposite. Otherwise, even granting good intent from the administration*, outcomes like this are inevitable, Murphy's Law-type outcomes for a classification and financing system as rickety and complicated as ObamaCare. Single payer would have been a lot simpler.

NOTE * Which I don't. I think the administration's electoral technique of constructing a majority with demographicallly targeted "concrete material benefits" for small slices of support shades over into public policy. It's not about getting everybody into the lifeboats, it's about getting as few people as possible into as few lifeboats as possible, and those people being "deserving" and part of the Democrats electoral coalition (which is, of course, more or less the same thing). I don't think even the health care lobbyists who wrote the bill for Obama deliberately targeted poor and working class children for slaughter, but "mistakes" like that are going to happen with any system that operates on Obama's minimalist lines. And don't get me started on throwing the smokers under the bus.

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Submitted by Victoria (not verified) on

it's about getting as few people as possible into as few lifeboats as possible, and those people being "deserving"

...

...and then sinking the rest of the lifeboats so we "undeserving" go down with the ship, for certain.

Submitted by MontanaMaven on

Good but sad post. We warned our friends who actually believed in good intentions. Well, before we single payer people were thrown out on our behinds.

Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong remedies.
Groucho Marx

Rainbow Girl's picture
Submitted by Rainbow Girl on

What is the unterbussen smokers issue?

Submitted by lambert on

Via DeLong, Prawfsblog:

Several months ago, an interesting analysis by Rick Curtis and Ed Neuschler, projected that several hundred dollars of non-premium supported health insurance cost could knock a substantial number of older smokers into a very familiar kind of uninsurability known as unaffordability. This means an older low income smoker seeking insured status might find an un-subsidized tobacco premium surcharge of perhaps $4,000 a year, unaffordable. (Of course, were you an older low income citizen intent on evading the individual mandate you could take up smoking and game yourself into the exceeds 8% of houshold income exemption for the individual mandate.)

Go die, poor smokers!

Here's the WaPo version.

First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win. -- Mahatma Gandhi

Rainbow Girl's picture
Submitted by Rainbow Girl on

Lovely.

Arbitrarily punitive, too, because what about obesity (diabetes, heart disease, gangrene, blindness, etc.)?

I thought one of the (whole) points of FrankenCare was to abolish "banding." Wrong again.