
Manuel Zelaya Rosales, President of Honduras, was pulled out of his official residence at 3am this morning by the Honduran military. Tanks are in the streets of Tegucigalpa. Zelaya is said to have been shuffled off to Costa Rica, where he will ask for asylum.
It's a strange situation. Zelaya is a leftist, a Chavez-style populist (the Venezuela president is a big ally). He was at the end of his term, and like Chavez, was about to hold a referendum (today, Sunday) to change the Constitution to allow him to run for another term.
The coup, spearheaded by Honduras' top general Romeo Vasquez Velazquez, smells like CIA--and not surprisingly, that's what Hugo Chavez is telling the press. But here's the strange part: earlier yesterday, President Zelaya told a reporter from El Pais that unknown people from the US government had "made some phone calls" to head off a coup. "If I'm sitting here today in the President's office, it's thanks to the US." Here's the Q and A (or that is, the P and R) from El Pais:
Pues mire, hay que ser justos. Aquí estaba todo listo para dar un golpe y si la Embajada de EE UU lo hubiera aprobado, hubieran dado el golpe. Pero la Embajada de EE UU no aprobó el golpe. Y fíjese lo que le voy a decir: si ahora mismo estoy aquí sentado, en la Casa Presidencial, hablando con usted, es gracias a Estados Unidos.
P. Explique eso, presidente...
R. Esta madrugada pasada [del viernes], a la una o las dos, el Congreso estaba pasando un decreto para inhabilitarme y las Fuerzas Armadas estaban reunidas. Pero hubo llamadas -no le puedo referir exactamente de qué personas, de dónde a dónde-, y esas llamadas desarticularon el golpe.
So here's what I'm wondering: did the U.S. lie to Manuel Zelaya? Did the Obama administration try to depart from the usual Banana Republic script, then lose its nerve? Or did the U.S. have absolutely nothing to do with this "golpe de estado"?
I follow politics in Colombia and Argentina, but I don't have a clue about Honduras. Anybody have any inside take on the situation?
UPDATE: The NYT now has its story up. I didn't realize this is the first Central American coup since the end of the cold war.
Another fascinating bit: The OAS met in Honduras a few weeks ago, on June 2nd, and voted to let Cuba back in, for the first time in 47 years. Hillary Clinton was there, and she met with President Zelaya in San Pedro Sula. If this coup has US fingerprints on it, I wonder if she was in the loop.

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What Do You Mean "Obama's "usual Banana Republic script?"
Please understand that I am not an Obama apologist. I just see no evidence that Obama's approach to Central and South America, or indeed to the rest of the world, is following some kind of standard American imperial policy - even Iraq and Afghanistan don't fit that model since he has inherited from Bush et al compex situation in which we are tightly embedded in both countries, trying in Iraq to get us out, and in Afghanistan to get us out by completing the mission. Mind you, I have many questions and worries about the latter, and the former, come to think of it, but there is no denying the total mess left to Obama as a result of the Bush policies both in Afghanistan and in Pakistan.
The CIA has plenty to answer for, past and present, without theorizing on the basis of no information. and the single piece of evidence pointing in the opposite direction.
Obama's personal response to Chavez at that conference was already a major break from the Bush policies. And though the Nixon administration encouraged the Pinochet coup against Allende, the Chilean army was fully capable of doing it's own dirty work without CIA assistance, and close to half of the Chilean people, tragically, supported both the coup and the death, torture and suppression that followed it.
Be assured that I've read "The Open Veins of Latin America," as well as pretty much everything else Galeano has written, (not, unhappily in the original Spanish), and this old-fashioned military coup in Honduras is depressing as hell without reaching for explanations for which there is not a shred of evidence.
I'm curious; did you not view Obama's response to the Iranian "crises," as a significant break not merely from Bush's policies, but also from bi-partisan foreign policy reflexes we've seen from American political elites for decades into the last century?
None of the above is meant to deny that there are myriad institutional pulls toward the old, imperial American foreign policy instincts, nor that I assume that in all instances Obama is immune to them - see Iraq and Afghanistan.
Sorry, my typo!
I meant to say "THE usual Banana Republic script." The US's, that is, not the Obama administration's.
I'll correct that now.
I agree with you. I actually think that the Obama administration is open to changing the old ways. And I'm wondering whether what's just happened in Honduras might be a sign that there's some resistance to that. Or at least some crossed signals between State and the CIA.
But there's also the strong possibility that the coup represents something internal and specific to Honduras, and has nothing to do with US policy at all.
now that you mention that
Only superficially. It gave the Company branch he represents room to move in, not to mention a martyr for the upcoming insurgency. With Stanley McChrystal next door, and a "color" revolution on the boil, it looks pretty much like business as usual to me.
Digby is right. The principal difference between Obama's Company faction and Cheneyburton is that Obama is smart enough to lie better.
No Hell below us
Above us, only sky
Interesting take on Zelaya
in the Christian Science Monitor:
Zelaya won election in 2005 by a small margin of 75,000 votes. I scanned through the forum comments at some of the Honduran newspapers and the NY Times and they're a mixed bag of pro and con.
Looks as though he might have tripped on his own accord.
b real at Moon of AL posted link to blog covering the Honduras
coup. Eva Gollinger.
Zelaya says letter of resignation was forged. Interesting that a similar letter was forged for the Chavez coup. And, iirc for the Aristide removal, which the US helped with (or managed?). Of course, that was under BushCo.
Coups in the Americas usually tend to have US input somewhere.
Interesting that the WSJ says the US warned against the coup...to whom?
Bernhard has striking quote from US head of Southern Command-
from January of this year.
Seems the Honduran military was really "shaping up."
As Commenter b real notes, these are School of the Americas trained officers.
From the same NarcoSphere blog, this statement from Hillary is quite strong:
It will be interesting to see what happens.
Thanks for the WSJ link
By coincidence, one of the reporters on the case is an old pal, and I know he's good. So I trust this more than I normally might.
Looks like Zelaya wasn't lying to the reporter from El Pais on Saturday morning when he said that certain "people made calls" from the US to thwart the coup against him.
It's unclear to me how anti-American Zelaya is or was. He seems to be a scion of the landowning class, and his father was a right-winger. The populism seems recent.
And the piece points out that you could argue that this wasn't a military coup at all, since the Honduran congress did vote to remove Zelaya from office.
But the most interesting point made by the WSJ article is this: because of Zelaya's alliance with Chavez, the U.S. is kind of forced to condemn the military coup. Otherwise it might look like we engineered it.