Dragging Obama and America to the Left, Part 1: Example of useful effort

Most of those I know on the Left are cautiously hopeful about what can be done under the new Democratic majority government.

Of course, I may have a skewed perspective. Other than the endless blazing of wildfires and the earthquakes and being surrounded by asshats and bigots, my little part of the globe is a slice of heaven. The greater SF Bay Area is home to some of the most progressive people in Congress, and we are – well, I am – fiercely proud of them all. Barbara Boxer, Barbara Lee, Doris Matsui, George Miller, Lynn Woolsey, Nancy Pelosi, Anna Eshoo, Jackie Speier, Michael Honda and Zoe Lofgren all represent districts nearby, while the only openly Agnostic in the whole of the Federal government, Pete Stark, is my local Representative.

Not a uniform bunch these, typical diversity of the Left, and hardly lockstep thinkers, but there is universally apparent among them a change in tone, a new sense of focus, a quickening of the step and of the pulse; there are heightened expectations, a rousing belief that at long last real Progressive change is possible.

Not hopey-changey delusional, this bunch, but practical and seasoned politicians who are for the first time in a long time openly eager and upbeat in their assessment of the possible, and that is a very welcome change. We have a list of things that need doing out here, the same list as the rest of Progressive America, that’s nothing new. What has changed is the characterization of that list; it has shifted from What Needs Doing to How To Do It and that is a major adjustment. Instead of theorizing, plans are being laid and forces are being mustered.

That all of these representatives have safe seats and did not have to campaign much to keep them is, IMNSHO, a damn good thing. That security gave them the opportunity to spend quality time with their constituents before the election, listening to those whom they represent rather than being insulated by the distancing that comes with making campaign speeches and endless rounds of fundraising.

Each of them reached out in different ways; among other things, Barbara Lee held a public discussion session with Robert Reich on the economy as well as many small venue open-discussion meetings, while Boxer gave a series of lectures with Q&A at large and small businesses and schools all around the Bay Area. George Miller spent a lot of time listening to educators and parents groups with an eye to finally fixing No Child Left Behind, his pet that went astray, as did Jackie Speier. Stark held a town-hall style presentation and discussion focused on the economy, with speakers representing local business, banking and consumer advocacy who made formal presentations and then took a barrage of questions from attendees, most of it from very unhappy people.

The overriding sense, from all of them, is that this election brings a chance to make things happen with a Progressive slant but that it will take coordinated effort to be heard as well as great determination and enormous effort to keep Republicans from controlling the media message. The MSM infatuation with Obama will come to an end the day he takes office, and the narrative then will be all about how the Republican minority is bravely saving the country from doom at the hands of spendthrift Liberals. Without swift action and relentless hammering of the truth, the MSM will swing public opinion back towards a regressive stance and perpetuate the conflict on which they thrive.

Next week’s Lame Duck session may provide a snapshot glimpse of that future. What had seemed a promising arrangement between congressional Democrats and the Bush administration over passage of a $150 billion Main Street stimulus package, a compromise worked out after the Trillion Dollar Bailout was shown to be the wrong approach, has now come a cropper. The measure included extending unemployment benefits, increased food stamp funding, infrastructure construction money that would have quickly provided tens of thousands of decent jobs, aid packages to the states for help with a whole range of basic services, and money – with strings – for domestic car makers.

Everyone was on board including Bernanke and Paulson, but Bush has decided to maneuver for advantage by making approval of the deeply flawed Columbian trade deal his price for signing the already agreed-upon stimulus bill. For BushCo, making money for Big Business at the further expense of American workers is more important than helping American unemployed and working poor.

So for the last week, along with jockeying for position on committee assignments and leadership offices, the whole Democratic caucus has had to try and strategize what – and even if – they can get in the way of a real stimulus bill past the recalcitrant Republican minority in the Senate and signed into law. The unemployment and state aid portions likely have enough votes in the House to override a veto, but nobody wants to stay in session for that long and there probably aren’t enough votes in the Senate anyway.

One last time, it may well be Bush’s way or the highway unless Republican senators can be frightened into cooperation. How the media cover this struggle will give us a clue as to how they intend to drive public opinion in the coming years.

Even in the new 111th congress, barring some set of miracles in Minnesota and Georgia and a sudden unlikely eruption of humility from Joe Lieberman, the Republican Senate caucus is planning obstruct everything Democrats propose. The BlueDogs, not as numerically important as they thought they would be, will still try and be the controlling entity in the House and make passing Progressive legislation as difficult as they can.

Managing the Dogs, and persuading a couple of Republican Senators to come along as well, will be difficult to achieve by threat alone. What is more likely productive is framing an argument for Progressive change in terminology the obdurate can understand, an argument from a conservative fiscal viewpoint made in the language of business.

I wrote about this use of business language here, and for background please refer to that post. In short, Progressives need to stop talking about expenditure items like unemployment insurance and Social Security and health care and education as “benefits” or “entitlements” and start calling them “investments”. The one view casts them as Cost, something business managers generally want to avoid, while the other presents them as Investment Opportunity which is something any decent business person is always seeking. Cost is bad, Investment Opportunity is good; it really does need to be kept that simple.

In the short term, the kinds of issues that can perhaps be addressed in this Lame Duck session like extending unemployment benefits, boosting food stamps, state government aid and infrastructure construction all provide a positive and rapid Return On Investment for the overall economy; that is, for every dollar spent more than a dollar in Gross Domestic Product is generated in the first year and those returns are continuing, extending out for the indefinite future. Further tax cuts, on the other hand, provide a modest Return at best and in most cases are not worth doing from an overall economic benefit viewpoint.

Application of this concept as a means of prioritizing economic policy is shown here in an excerpt from congressional testimony given to the House last June by economist Mark Zandi of Moody’s, hardly a DFH sprung from some Socialist hotbed of irresponsible thinking.

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This information was generally neglected when it first appeared, but over the last few weeks it has become widely circulated within the Progressive congressional caucus and its power is becoming appreciated. Framed within this terminology, it is clearly apparent that "doing well by doing good" is not just possible but mandatory.

If we are to manage the economy responsibly, then investments of public money must be directed in such a way that the Return on those investments is greater than the cost. What works, for the benefit of all, is not the false promise of Trickle Down but the economically sound approach of Bubble Up. Or, as I like to think of it: Keynes rules, Friedman drools.

Longer term, but not too much longer, subjects like education, health care and ecological engineering need to be framed in a similar manner. Universal decent health care and universal quality education must be shown to have a positive Return On Investment, evidence that a healthy and educated citizenry will also be a productive and profitable citizenry.

Intuitively obvious to the Liberal mind, of course, but remember who we’re dealing with here. These are people who cannot envision any reality beyond the bottom line on a balance sheet, and have little sense about how to manage a business profitably beyond slashing cost by eliminating workers and reducing taxes.

They will have to be educated, shown how an investment will reap a worthwhile profit, and Progressives will have to learn the language and conceptual skills necessary to communicate these principles effectively. It is only on the basis of dollars and cents that a Progressive agenda can be sold to a center-conservative Administration and a center-conservative Congress and, frankly, a center-conservative nation.

While Progressives tend to view these sorts of issues – properly – from within a moral framework, arguments from decency and goodness have not been functional approaches because appealing to a banker’s heart or conscience does no good; they don’t have either one. Appeal to greed and their pocketbook, however, and we will have all the eager partners we need.

Comments

keynes rules, friedman drools!

i like it.

i'm more than happy to manipulate these people by their greed, and to speak to them in terms of dollars and sense, but the problem with convincing these "return on investment" nuts that single-payer is the way to go, is that they can't see past immediate return on investment. adopting hr 676 will save us tons of money in the long run, but it will be the long run.

meanwhile, their big-money donors in the insurance industry will be pointing to a more immediate and compelling bottom line -- look how much money we won't be giving to your campaign next time.

I've been wanting to run a "drooling class" riff...

... for some time.

Greed makes you drool, for example.

To almost quote Silber: "It's called a drooling class because it drools."

"First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win." -- Mahatma Gandhi

"First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win." -- Mahatma Gandhi

The riff is all yours

I only aspired to take a cheap shot at a dead man.

Friedman advises Americans to...GO SHOPPING! Shades of Bush!

Viz Berhnard at Moon of Alabama.

Actually, it might do some good--if most consumers had the wherewithal with which to shop. Buying new products using less energy would be the best way to spend. But, people do need those lower levels of the hierarchy such as food, warmth, shelter, transportation to jobs.... Really, think about it, Tommy. For one of your FU's, OK?

Friedman (and Obama) should read Seeing the Forest:

Dave Johnson puts this very succinctly:

The consumer spending problem is that consumers are "tapped out." Incomes have stagnated for decades, consumers have used up their savings and then resorted to second mortgages and credit cards.

Decades of predatory capitalism have sucked the average working person dry. That is the consumer spending problem. That policymakers and reporters don't know that tells a sad story about how this has come to pass.

Limit executive pay and use the money to hire more people for fewer hours, pay them more, give them health insurance and let people start unions if you want to see consumer spending recover. That's not rocket science. (Original emphasis)

As the rest of his post makes clear, it's not just Friedman getting this wrong.

they do know this--

us consumers have been living beyond our paychecks for ages and ages now--they all know this and have known it for ages--just like we all do.

the big thing that they can't relate to is that homes and jobs are what has changed consumer behavior -- and snapped wallets shut -- policymakers and reporters don't see the vital fundamental importance of those 2 things because they themselves are rarely if ever at risk on those -- esp bigshot officials and columnists/pundits/DC Village residents. They're millionaires and all own multiple homes.

It's a class thing--their blindness and lack of connection to most lives.

Different Friedman, jawbone

The drooling Friedman I referred to is Milton, the supply-side Nobel-prize winning Chicago School grand master manipulator whose life's work gave us The Big Shitpile; quite a legacy.

By comparison, your Thomas Friedman merely dribbles.

Hey, hipparchia; perhaps I was unclear

It is a daunting task, but never the less it is the one we need to undertake and complete. The good news about ruthless capitalists is that they will slit each other's throats like the pirates they are if they think they can make a nickle more for the doing of it. Other entities, like GM and the rest of the major manufacturers along with midsize and smaller corporations all see health care as a cost and a drag on the bottom line. Government, federal, state and local, spends enormous sums providing health care and sunstantial savings to taxpayers would result from changing to single-pay Medicare-for-all from the current mind-boggling array of private insurers and HMOs.

The financial argument is there, just needs putting together. In the end, more greedy capitalists will benefit from single-pay than will lose, and we need to find a way to pit them against one another so when the fight is over, we win.

a daunting task indeed

you're right about pitting all the greedy capitalists against each other in a circular firing squad, but as long as we're bailing out insurance companies but not car manufacturers, and a lot of other manufacturers going offshore, it's looking bleak still.

my very republican-controlled state is saddled with serious budget woes, both at the state and local levels, and medicaid is something like 16% of the budget and projected to get worse, but give up those matching federal dollars that instead they could funnel to their buddies in the hmo industry? fuck no.

some of our cities and counties are starting to drink the single-payer kool-aid, but the hcan/obama wing has really taken hold of the debate in the last few months here in florida, and are starting to drown out single-payer advocates. that's probably the most discouraging recent development.

another problem is this part of the state at least is a rather depressed area [my county only recently graduated from the census bureau's 20 poorest big counties list] and a lot of smaller employers offer low wages and zilch benefits. getting them to pony up another 3.3% of their payroll is a tough sell,.

that last is made even more difficult because the insurance companies are slick and impressive liars, while we single-payer advocates have only a few puny facts to throw at the problem [since nobody really knows or can prove just how much the insurance companies are costing us].

Maybe we should just make the numbers up

worked for the supply-siders.

Maybe instead of a Laffer Curve we need the Hipparchia Curve, sort of a swooping exponential that starts out slowly and then accelerates nicely upwards in overall GDP benefit over a couple of decades. First draw the curve, then create the data needed to suppport it.

Maybe this insistence on strict honesty is too much of a burden; it may have been Oscar Wilde who said, after being accused of fabrication: "I am a writer; I give the truth scope!"

I expect we'll see more and more proposals, of all sorts, appearing in the next while. Some are no doubt well intended, but I'm thinking most of them are Insurance and Big Pharma generated propaganda, intended to muddy the water and sow confusion to the point that the public just throws up their collective hands because it all appears so hopelessly complicated.

Now wait a minute

So you say "What had seemed a promising arrangement between congressional Democrats and the Bush administration over passage of a $150 billion Main Street stimulus package, a compromise worked out after the Trillion Dollar Bailout was shown to be the wrong approach, has now come a cropper." didn't work out?

Well whoever could have known that at the time?

We definitely need to trust that our elected leaders Pelosi and Reid will figure out a way to kick the football this time.

But at least they are "Not hopey-changey delusional, this bunch, but practical and seasoned politicians who are for the first time in a long time openly eager and upbeat in their assessment of the possible.", so we got that going for us.

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Around these parts we call cucumber slices circle bites

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I'm not such a bad guy once you get to know me.

Not sure what you're saying, herb

The post by Leah has nothing to say about this new stimulus package, so what's the connection you see?

Granted, that sentence of mine wasn't so much a run-on as it was a stumbling shamble of staggering clauses, but still; the stimulus package that Bush is now trying to play off against the Columbian Free Trade deal is entirely distinct from the Trillion Dollar Bailout.

As far as "We definitely need to trust that our elected leaders" goes, I advocate no such thing. They all of them need to be pushed and prodded and watched, not trusted. I can't tell if you're being sarcastic or serious; please clarify.

The last paragraph of your comment I don't understand at all; if it is important and there is something you think I need to understand, please re-phrase.

I had thought what you were saying

what the "deal" was, was that the stimulus package (and extension of unemployment benefits) was a quid pro quo for the bailout/giveaway. If I was mistaken I apologize, but I seem to recall you being quite adamant that Obama "cut the best deal he could" on all this.

The last line is also based on this reading of what you wrote. Why would we trust these Dem leaders (including Pelosi, who you specifically include) who screwed the pooch so badly with the Trillion Dollar giveaway and whatever deal with Bush was inherent in that (and with memories of all the other "deals" with Bush and how much worth could be placed in his word, hence the football reference).

Seriously, why would we trust them? Did they suddenly grow brain cells, or did they suddenly grow, uh, "intestinal fortitude"? Which is it?

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Around these parts we call cucumber slices circle bites

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I'm not such a bad guy once you get to know me.

Noooo, not at all

The Trillion Dollar Giveaway is a done deal, one I argued against. I do think Obama and the Dems got the best deal they thought they could under the circumstances. Certainly their objectives and competency are open to question; having hashed that issue through already, though, I confess I am not very interested in recapitulating here.

Since then it has become clear to everyone that the TDG was not going to do much but prop up the stock portfolios, and that only short term. The new tack, the one that should have beeen tried first, is to move money directly into the pockets of working-class people. The first round of this Main Street stimulus package, around $150 billion, was put together and agreed to after the TDG was done and before the election, in the expectation that with either Obama or McCain the deal would go through because without it the economy will continue to sink. Now, after all the work of negotiation has been done, Bush threw a spanner in the works by insisting on the Columbian Trade deal as a quid pro quo.

This $150 billion is just the start; all said and done we need to pump in another $600 billion in the next three months and another $Trillion on top of that over the next 18 months, all of it in the way of direct expenditures on the items listed in the Moody's chart that show the highest ROI.

As to trust, I don't know what you're on about. I am not advocating trust, no one here is; who are you talking to and why do you keep bringing it up?

I know you were against it

and kudos for that, your words against it were in the link that I provided. So Mozoltov, although you were in the company of nearly everybody in the country (except our ruling drooling class of course). As for "trust", I'm using it in the sense of "expectant" or "hopeful" or "not ocmpletely given up on", if you are not expectant, or hopeful or have not completely given up on the Dems in this Congress then I apologize.

My point is this, isn't it clear by now that these formulations of "Bush threw a spanner in the "deal"" is just a bunch of bullshit that the Democratic leadership in the House and Senate have used over and over again to cover their backsides when passing legislation that THEY THEMSELVES WANT? They wanted FISA, they passed it (and blamed Bush), they wanted TDG, they passed it (and blamed Bush), they wanted Patriot Act, they passed it (and blamed Bush). I could type that frame all day long and not run out of examples.

They will pass a Columbia trade deal, not because it is a "spanner" thrown in, but because that is what they WANT PASSED.

It is clear (to me at least) that generally speaking whatever passes between now and Obama's inauguration will be very, very close to what the Democrats in Congress and Obama himself WANT passed. The key is what Bush DOES NOT sign, that is the smoke trail of where Obama is going to (hopefully) be radically different.

At least I have hope about that.

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Around these parts we call cucumber slices circle bites

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I'm not such a bad guy once you get to know me.

It's the Process Dodge

See Shystee's excellent post on this analytical tool.

"First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win." -- Mahatma Gandhi

"First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win." -- Mahatma Gandhi

Yeah, great post!

Almost like everything old is new again. Or maybe every new thing is still old?

I'm confused. Anyway, what Shystee said.

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Around these parts we call cucumber slices circle bites

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I'm not such a bad guy once you get to know me.

Hard to know what's a dodge and what's

simple incompetence, and what is just the limit of human effort.

Not going to get drawn into a defense of Obama and the centrists, they are not my allies. I listed those whom I "trust" in the sense that I do feel I know who they are as human beings, in a long-standing eyeball-to-eyeball way, and what they want. That may or may not mean anything to anyone else but they are true, my feelings, and so presented here for your consideration - or not, as you please.

There is a lot of "Hope" for "Change" roaming around, and some of it will no doubt turn to disappointment. If Progressives cannot take hold of that and make it work in our favor regardless of what Obama and his center-conservative buddies like Hillary Clinton decide they want to do, then I say shame on us.

speaking of ROI--

meet the Dingells -- He's a Representative from MI; She's "a senior executive at General Motors and a member of the family who founded the company."

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/16/washin... -- A Power Duo, Dingells Battle on Two Fronts

ROI means something very different when so many public officials have spouses/relatives in Corporations, Corp Boards, and lobbying firms.

ROI means the same thing to everyone

and yes, we are ruled by Corporatists - get used to it.

We can't get rid of them. The goal instead is to learn how to play one off against the other, and in so doing reap some of the rewards of capitalism for ourselves.

these bundlers on the transition team--gigantic ROI --

they're the ones picking staff--and some becoming staff themselves.

http://becoming44.org/content/bundlers-w... --
Bundlers working for the Obama transition

Government is not Capitalism--it's in fact the opposite. if we're are ruled by Corporatists or Capitalists, then "get used to it" is no way to even start to have government act for us.

it's giving up before you start, in fact.

BIO, i'm tapping my foot in impatience with you

do you read your farking email, or what? lemme know if i've been using the wrong addy.

CD foot-tapping, eh?

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