Here's the real question for election 2008

Who's the one you'd rather leave holding the bag?

You know, I'm starting to lean toward Obama after all.

Comments

It's a tie!

Barack Obama, Howard Dean, Nancy Pelosi, and Donna Brazile.

Tie them all to the anchor and kick if off the deck

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“I don't belong to any organized political party. I'm a Democrat.” - Will Rogers

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“I don't belong to any organized political party. I'm a Democrat.” - Will Rogers

why i'm voting for obama:

b/c i'm looking forward to the implosion of the DLC and all their minions. yes, let him win. there's a big bag of shit for him to hold, and i can't think of a better way to clean out the "democratic" party of DINOs, than to hand them Bush's messes and see them fail. naderite? not really. just...a kind of brutal realpolitik. let's argue this more, "mccain" supporters and bitter dead ender types.

Best Argument I've Read for Obama

I've said it before about accountability - just because the bank robber escapes doesn't mean you don't prosecute the getaway driver. If I can't get Bush, Cheney & Rummy because of the Dems, I'm happy to take them instead in a couple of years. They seem to have volunteered.

Hmmm....

Lambert, that is certainly an interesting way of looking at it. But, I've never voted solely out of spite, and that is what I'd be doing if I decided to vote on November 4th. I'd need a helluva support team to get me to vote for Obama come November 4, and the OFB could not be my support group. They are the single best weapon for McCain.

Nah, not spite

Schadenfreude.

Look, I know it's a Rovian bank shot....

[ ] Very tepidly voting for Obama [ ] ?????. [ ] Any mullah-sucking billionaire-teabagging torture-loving pus-encrusted spawn of Cthulhu, bless his (R) heart.

"First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win." -- Mahatma Gandhi

When I See How Sad You Are, It Kind of Makes Me Happy

I can't have Obama fail

Both McCain and Obama will be utter failures on a scale almost too staggering to believe (Thanks, Bush and Cheney!). There are two reasons why I'm terrified of Obama being the failure: as a Democrat, it'll delegitimize the Party as a whole and deliver a near-fatal blow to liberalism due to the misperception that Obama is a liberal; and as a black man, it'll inflame racism like never before...on a global scale.

If I didn't give a damn about trying to hold onto the last thread of a Party that's our dying hope or care about inciting racial hatred, I'd be giddy at the prospects of getting the ultimate revenge against Obama, Axelrod, Dean, Brazile, Pelosi, Brazile & Co.

It won't delegitimize the Dems at all

It will purge all the people who proceeded to parley a 9% approval rating into being kingmakers.

[ ] Very tepidly voting for Obama [ ] ?????. [ ] Any mullah-sucking billionaire-teabagging torture-loving pus-encrusted spawn of Cthulhu, bless his (R) heart.

"First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win." -- Mahatma Gandhi

You think a purge will honestly ever happen?

I want those bastards nuked 'till they glow but I don't see how we can ever get rid of them. They're like damn cockroaches. I feel as though they can knee-cap the Party to oblivion and yet still remain in power.

I fear either win or lose*, Obama will help delegitimize the Party. I'm more concerned with him as POTUS because the Senate, House, and White House will all be under Democratic control, run by the likes of Reid, Pelosi, and Daschle. The GOP will make sure to condemn them as Democrats. Being "post-partisan" will only make it worse.

*How the fuck can the Democratic Party lose an election so gift-wrapped a urinal cake with (D) next to it would be a contender?!

If They Feel Enough Pain

Here's why - ultimately the thing most politicians care most about is saving their own skin. Right now they think Nancy, Howard, and Obama will do that and lead them to the promise land. And maybe they will.

But things are going to get really bad. Iraq and Afghanistan aren't going to suddenly resolve themselves. The economic mess isn't going to rebound overnight. Healthcare is going to get more expensive. On and on. All of which the Dems have kicked down the road ensuring they will become Obama's problems.

It's not that hard for me to see the Dems heading into 2010 with a lousy economy, a pissed off public, and a President who many in the party feel can't connect with working class people or talk about the economy in a way that reassures people. In that case, the Dems in Congress will do whatever they have to to try to save themselves and if that means jettisoning leaders and/or finding other folks they think will be a better face for the party, they'll do it. None of these people have any interest in being a political martyr for Obama, Pelosi or anyone else. And if they suffer big losses in 2010, then things will really get interesting.

Of course, none of this may happen. Perhaps Obama is the me I've been waiting for (or whatever he claims). If that's the case, he'll be wildly successful and solve all of our problems. What's not to like about that? I'd happily eat a little crow for that.

Having said that, going by experience in a contest between the Clintons and their political enemies, in the long run my money is on the Clintons. I mean, if the economy tanks and Obama can't connect with voters, who in the Congress would Democrats turn to?

A failed Obama administration means 12 more years of GOP

lawlessness.

4 years of failure, followed by 8 of another GOP President.

Plus we lose strength in Congress (possibly losing the Senate as early as 2010)

No matter how egregiously bad he is, it will be considered disloyal for any Democrat to run against an incumbent Obama in 2012 (see Carter in 1980)

However, if McCain wins, we hold onto Congress, maybe gain seats in 2010, and can run a real Democrat in 2012.

I would rather wait 4 years than 12

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“I don't belong to any organized political party. I'm a Democrat.” - Will Rogers

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“I don't belong to any organized political party. I'm a Democrat.” - Will Rogers

An Obama loss will require dramatic house cleaning

Dean, Pelosi and a whole lotta Dems staked their reputations on Obama despite his weaknesses. Dean was already unpopular before the primary and we don't have to mention the ratings Congress has. The day after an Obama loss and everyone, after they "get over it", will turn around and be salivating for political heads on platters.

Obama loses and Pelosi probably won't be able to maintain her Speaker role, and the rest of the leadership who pushed Obama on us get canned as well (esp Mr. Clyburn). Dean will be gone by the end of the year. In general, the Dems will be in massive disarray. The caucus fraud will be exposed and talked about, Obama's post-partisan schtick gets ridiculed and the scorn that rightfully belongs to the media will no longer be containable.

Do the Dems survive? Not sure. But there will be room for a dramatically new direction with lots of room for new blood.

Obama wins and liberals get blamed for the problems even though they are post-partisan policies.

When I go through it in my head, Obama looks worse and worse an alternative. But for the life of me... McCain? *shudder* 2008 will go down as a display of massive political incompetence. It already has.

No, it's not incompetence

It's the spectrum of possibilities allowed by the Village. Not incompetence at all.

[ ] Very tepidly voting for Obama [ ] ?????. [ ] Any mullah-sucking billionaire-teabagging torture-loving pus-encrusted spawn of Cthulhu, bless his (R) heart.

"First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win." -- Mahatma Gandhi

yup--Dean, Brazile, DNC overall--

they're the ones who will be swept out or kept out, as always happens after a loss.

And people who have been fighting to change the primary system get boosted -- Levin especially and those on the Rules Committee who didn't play along.

A loss is the only thing that'll help stop the iowa/nh/Caucus bs.

Moving the DNC to Chicago too--that'll get reversed immediately, thankfully.

I'm with GG Martinez...

Voting for Obama to make sure he is left holding the bag simply delays the gratification that can be achieved by denying the DNC hacks in the first place. More to the point, the people responsible for giving us Obama are already firmly entrenched in the party, and the worst that can happen is to make them more entrenched -- they need to be dislodged starting now...

Of course, the effort will be made to "blame Hillary", so the pushpack has to start immediately --

The primary theme should be about how many voters who didn't like Clinton chose her over Obama based on experience and leadership, and how that is likely to be recapitulated in November.

The secondary theme should the Democratic Party no longer stands for anything other than not being quite as bad as the GOP -- and that replacing "Washington politics" with "Chicago politics" is a step in the wrong direction.

I'm not sure how happy NY and DC will be...

... about being replaced by Chicago.

In fact, I am sure. Not happy at all.

[ ] Very tepidly voting for Obama [ ] ?????. [ ] Any mullah-sucking billionaire-teabagging torture-loving pus-encrusted spawn of Cthulhu, bless his (R) heart.

"First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win." -- Mahatma Gandhi

gqmartinez nails it

If Obama wins and holds on for 8 years Nader will end up looking like a seer. If Obama wins and bombs, the Republicans could win it back in 2012. Hillary would never pull a Teddy Kennedy and run against a Democratic sitting president. I don't want to wait 8 years for her to run again. By then both the Democratic party and the country could both be in shambles. If Obama loses, Hillary will become the leader of the party. She won't fall over dead like Reid and Pelosi. She'll lead the charge using the majority to hold McCain in check. An Obama loss this year will allow us to regroup and come back with a vengeance in 2012. The Clinton wing would be ascendant, in full force and fury. Right now that's the only scenario that looks even remotely palatable to me.

So in having McCain be the one to hold the bag, and have

the Dems sweep Congress, how is that worse than what you propose?

If the Dems fail to enact meaningful legislation, they can start to be purged in 2010. If Obama's president, then they're protected, because the DCCC and DSCC will say oh, noes! We've got to protect (fill-in-the-blank issue they've never firmly defended since Reagan, here)! Protect the majority!

With Obama, the Dems close ranks, hew right, and only become vulnerable to the right.

With McCain, the left-wing (should it still exist) has a greater opportunity to recruit candidates who are real Democrats, build their financial support base independent of the DSCC/DCCC, and actually change Congress -- you know, the ones who make the bills and approve all appointments, including the Supremes? -- for the better.

I'll never vote for McCain, but I don't see why giving the Dems everything they want this election is going to make them more responsive to progressive ideals.

We're all just fantasizing

while, as far as I know, none of us really knows anything about how power politics work. Come to think of it, people who do know don't seem to be any good at predicting outcomes either.

My fantasy, as long as we're spinning tales, is that the big guys in Congress got together to try to cut the imperial Presidency's power down a bit. They put up Obama because he didn't have any power base but them; they're hoping to run things through him (fools!). McCain is the volunteer fall guy. Clinton was left out because she's just a grrrl, and anyway they figured they could beat her because of her high negatives (ht BTD). The real action happened so far behind the scenes no one will ever know about it; it was the struggle for the vice presidency.

Restore the balance of power, vote Obama! /fantasy

I say, vote your conscience. No amount of trying to figure out what will happen can yield up a sure tactical vote.

Policy not party!

Policy not party!

One option

If your state is reliably red or blue, vote Green. I've looked at their platform, and it's not impressive, and I don't think Cynthia McKinney -- let alone her advisers -- is impressive, but if they make a 5% threshold in the popular vote (at least their site says) they become a permanent presence via campaign finance money. There's something to be said for that, and it doesn't preclude working within the D party, later, either.

I live in a state where that's possible, and I might do it. I'm not sure, because November is a long way away.

And my state D establishment totally sucks -- they've affected me in a bad way by slamming a humongous landfill into my area, based on crooked dealing in the state capitol, and I'd like to send a big "Fuck You" message to them as well. It's a mini-Village, just without as much money and with fewer competent people -- the truly feral ones head for the Beltway.

[ ] Very tepidly voting for Obama [ ] ?????. [ ] Any mullah-sucking billionaire-teabagging torture-loving pus-encrusted spawn of Cthulhu, bless his (R) heart.

"First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win." -- Mahatma Gandhi

Bill Clinton last night

I guess I was wrong when I said this yesterday:

I don’t think Obama really understands what that means yet. He is the LEADER OF THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY. Because of that he cannot by definition be post-partisan. Bill Clinton is going to explain it to him tonight, in front of the entire Democratic party and in front of most of the free world which has televisions. He will explain what Democrats have always stood for, how Democrats are better than Republicans, and what Democrats will do to improve our future.

He really did just like he reportedly (by Begala) said he would: he did exactly what Obama wanted him to do. I hardly recall when he even used the word "Democratic", it was all Obama, Obama, Obama. Frankly, I think he did exactly what Obama wanted him to do because he knew it won't help Obama. I'm sure it made Obama and Michele feel good to have our last successful president say that Obama is CiC material, ready for the job, wise and true and all of that bullshit, I'm sure that was the thrill of a lifetime to have that happen. If there is one thing we know about Obama, he loves him some good public puffery (and last night he got it from the best), but there isn't a single person outside his OFB that believed a word of it.

I was right about one thing, the Big Dog did put on a clinic; except when he went into that mode he was attacking the failed Republican leadership and ideology of the last 30 years. The income inequity, the militarism, the destruction of the environment, the raise in gas prices (that last is enough to turn the heads of the iPodicans!). He derided those as Republican ideals and his best line was, after describing how they had finally had a chance to fully implement the Reagan-Bush ideology (I wish he had called it that more clearly) with a Republican presidency and Republican congress (Jesus, did they only finally make that happen in 2000?), and noting disaster it has been, to say "Thanks, but no thanks." I would like to see Deval Patrick or Mark Warner or Barack Obama "It doesn't matter where good ideas come from" WORM away from THAT!

So, the good thing is he got to defend his own legacy and presidency, he also did exactly what Obama asked him to do (and thanks to the leakers for telling us what Obama wanted him to do and also for saying "Obama let him say whatever he wanted to say" which makes it clear Clinton was a good boy on his own best behaviour), so now he is "Good" Clinton again (until he is "Bad" Clinton again). I'm also pleased that it doesn't help Obama one bit; now Obama can fight for his own self for a change.

And the soul of the Dem party? Well, none this time around I guess, even Bill has given up. But I'm an optimist, this is the first Obama speech I will listen to all the way through. (I might have to get drunk first).

We will all no more in a few hours.

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Around these parts we call cucumber slices circle bites

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Around these parts we call cucumber slices circle bites

He Did it for Hillary

To neutralize the OFB poo-swinging and give her cover for a potential 2012 run.

Go Global!

I raise you, lambert

I say, whether your state is reliably hued or not, vote green. Many actual progressives have wished for more than two parties for years, and this is the time to strike. If 27% of Clinton supporters won't vote for Obama, and half of those opted for McKinney, that starts to look like a viable third party. In past years we haven't risked it because the Dem was better than the Republican, but I see both as very bad for our country this time.

yup-it's more important that swing state ppl

do so than just us blue state ppl.

In 2000, there was trading so that Nader could benefit without hurting Dems.

In 2008, the party has made it crystal clear they don't want many of us, so why should we continue to prop them up and enable them and protect them?

Yes, after Wednesday...

I'm finally seriously considering by alternative options. It doesn't mean I'll go Green or Independent, but they've instantly become more attractive.

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