Wed, 08/27/2008 - 11:17am — lambert
Feh.
And they call me insane.
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Feh.
And they call me insane.
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Comments
Paranoia
While some of the *wince* Kossacks are pushing the Unity
Pony
viz. H. Clinton, there's a segment of them unwilling to accept this, because they feel that there's a possibility, if not now than in 2012 or 2016 that the Clinton campaign spectre might rise from the grave wherein they believe they have interred it.
I've Always Thought
the Obama movement was more about Clinton hate (with the misogyny bonus) than Obama love and the reactions of some today just proves it.
Of course Hillary Clinton is not politically dead. If that's what they think this is about, then last night must've been a very rude awakening for them. But only an idiot or media pundit would've believed that to begin with. People who get more votes in a presidential nominating contest than anyone in history are not LESS powerful than they were before. That's not how politics works (and I'm beginning to think there are less than half a dozen people left among "progressives" who understand how politics works, our media has truly dumbed everyone down even otherwise smart people).
If Obama loses, Hillary will run in 2012 absent some sort of life event (and my bet is she'll win both the nomination and the election, I've seen Mark Warner and he's not going to be any competition). If Obama wins and is a disaster, I think there's a decent chance the party or at least part of it will turn to her to try to get her to bail them out in 2012. For that matter, she'll only be 68 in 2016, which is younger than McCain and only two years older than Biden (and women on average live longer than men so she's relatively younger than a man of her age), so I wouldn't rule her out then either.
Hillary Clinton is a centrist, no doubt, but I've become convinced this election season that she's a centrist with more political skill than just about anyone in Washington right now. She is head and shoulders above Pelosi, Daschle, and even Obama. Thinking that she's just going to go away is beyond stupid.
She is Zombie Terminator Hillary
She can never be stopped
------------------------------------------------
“I don't belong to any organized political party. I'm a Democrat.” - Will Rogers
My own personal dog whistle
Of course she's coming back, she said so herself.
"I'm going to count my blessings and keep on going. I'm going to keep doing what I was doing long before the cameras ever showed up and what I'll be doing long after they're gone"
Or perhaps my little dog ears misunderstood?
Appears the TPM emailer didn't listen to Hillary's entire speech
She did that nice little riff, with call and response, about how McCain is McSame.
Oh, well. Listening skills are not taught much nowadays.
"but did her body language match her words??"
No, says CBS News body language expert Craven Panderer, III
http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2008/08/2...
"What we wanted to see was a Churchillian speech, something that would move her candidate to cross that magic fence. And she delivered a speech, but the gestures -- the non-verbals that give us the emotion -- really weren't there."
This was obviously what our young Cheeto eater was picking up on at TPM.. She wasn't Churchillian enough to get Barry over the "magic fence." I guess that holds in the Magic Ponies
....
She may have been foaming at the mouth with the words for O'Lovin'.. But she didn't attack so what big huge zero she is.
And what are words.. anyway.. just uh speech.. n stuff.. gestures count more in getting candidates over the magic fences...
feh. is too good.
dupager
Are you kidding me?
I don't think Obama is going to win so I've been trying to come to terms with the *shudder* idea of a *shudder* McCain presidency. The silver lining may be that a McCain win will really embarrass the media and there will be a backlash against the Village propaganda. Maybe, just maybe, the next time won't be as horrendous as this time. If Obama wins, it'll probably get worse for the midterms. *shudder*
It's possible
we could get a DNC housecleaning and a Village shake-up (remember after NH??? oh the joy of Olby's head exploding of Obama doesn't win). That would be a huge benefit to the greater good of more and better Democrats.
McCain with an active, hostile (and veto-proof)congress is way less scary than Obama with a friendly capitulating DNC-approved congress cheered on by the Village.
I Find Them Both Scary
but what do I know, I think the world is coming to an end.
Both Scary: exactly
I have no interest in voting for McCain. But the end of the world if McCain wins get me to think about the ramifications of an Obama win. That's not good either. Too bad. Even if Obama turns out to be progressive, sanctioning of the way he won is still really really dangerous to the future.
There you go
That's the choice in a nutshell:
Lots of points to be made on either side, but that's the choice.
There's also the issue of the Democratic Party being remade and the Obama Movement as a permanent institutional presence, both with the absence of real misogyny and the absence of real CDS as part of their myths of origin.
To which the answer is, we can't afford another 4 years of Bush.
Sophie's choice.
[ ] Very tepidly voting for Obama [ ] ?????. [ ] Any mullah-sucking billionaire-teabagging torture-loving pus-encrusted spawn of Cthulhu, bless his (R) heart.
explain the congress thing again
because it will be the same congress either way. Counting on a Corporatist
-dominated congress to stand up to McCain makes as much sense as people believing that a Corporatist-majority congress would stand up to Bush - it just won't happen.
If Obama loses and McCain wins, you will see the Democrats cower further to the right and seek to recruit even more candidates that fit the BlueDog mold. You can't expect them to come left until they feel secure. Simply will not happen. Let McCain into power and the nation is lost, in my opinion permanently.
I don't intend to be kind, or gentle, or shy about pointing that out. If it is seen as "finger-wagging" so be it; it still needs to be said.
Clearly half the party
Is not in Obama's tank (isn't that what the problem we all have is? It was just the wrong half?). That half is now firmly in Hillary and Bill's tank, she cemented that last night.
I think we will know more after tonight and even more after Thursday. I am cautiously optimistic that she will be able to muscle Harry Reid out as Senate majority leader. Especially if Obama loses, but even if Obama wins.
I can't believe that more people don't see that this is a watershed moment in the parties history. This is make or break time. It is not a time to give up. Yes, Obama is going to be the candidate, but that DOES NOT MEAN that the party necessarily has to morph into his own private cheering section.
-----------------------------
Around these parts we call cucumber slices circle bites
Indeed. As I've said, I think Obama's going to bump along at 4%+
(modulo an October surprise of "live boy or dead girl"-scale implosion). The wrong track stuff and the not-Bruce Fein-like Rs abandoning their party's brand to pollute the Ds should be enough.
So he'll win, but with no mandate, and our party leaders will experience pain. Those results are fine with me.
[ ] Very tepidly voting for Obama [ ] ?????. [ ] Any mullah-sucking billionaire-teabagging torture-loving pus-encrusted spawn of Cthulhu, bless his (R) heart.
except-he's overpolled all along
compared to actual votes--and that 4% is pretty much margin of error anyway, so they're either tied or he's behind.
If the overpolling holds true for the general like it did for all primaries, then Obama needs to be at least 8 points ahead to be 4 points ahead.
I Figure
all it would take is one gaffe from Obama and he's done. Otherwise he'll probably eek out a win that's by much less of a margin than the Democrats will win Congressional races. But if he makes that gaffe all bets are off. He's too new on the national scene to get the benefit of the doubt.
1976
Anglachel compared it to the Republican Party in 1976 and I don't think she's wrong. The only difference is that Ford lost and I think it's likely Obama will win.* But had Ford won, I don't think Reagan and his supporters would simply have gone away. The battle would've gone on.
And so it will here. I think last night was very important because Clinton put down her marker and she did it by emphasizing liberal values (unions, gay rights, etc). Tonight her husband will put down his and while it will sound like he's putting it down for Obama, it will really be for her and the values she espoused last night.
They haven't given up and I don't know why the rest of us would either. Regardless of the outcome of any one election, the fight must go on.
i still see it as 88--McCain is Daddy Bush
--not liked, with a bad economy, and out-of-touch with daily life while people are hurting.
Which is better?
That's the question about our votes...it may not be possible to achieve it all with just one vote so we will have to choose the best possible scenario.
But I'm with Lambert--no more choices now until November, with lots more opportunity for information gathering, right?
A local Obama person on phonebank just called to see what we made of Hillary's speech...we are supposed to be for Obama now. This kind of call (especially with no outreach or offers) is not helping...comes off as the pc police. Kinda like that letter in the other thread. (What a waste of money and resources too.)
Yay yay Hillary reminding us of great causes. We can all work on those.
The only other thing is speaking out against injustice and bad policies--so same old same old for us...
Now THAT shows fear
Running a poll of known Ds to see if they support a D candidate.
That's good. Fear will concentrate their minds.
Universal health care, gay rights. Not fealty to a personality. Maybe fear will help them figure that out in time.
[ ] Very tepidly voting for Obama [ ] ?????. [ ] Any mullah-sucking billionaire-teabagging torture-loving pus-encrusted spawn of Cthulhu, bless his (R) heart.
But since we're talking horserace
Obama's in trouble. McCain just passed him in the daily Gallup tracking--by 2, within the margin of error, but McC's been down 2. It's very close.
No Biden bump--at all apparently.
McC pulls ahead during the D convention, which usually gives a bump too? Although we aren't quite to the conventional 3 days of polling yet so we don't know the total convention rxn. yet. But the GOP usually gets a bump from theirs and it's right after the D...McC's made a series of gaffes and he's associated with some of the problems of the Bush Admin. But McC has made some high profile departures from big Bush problems--and people remember him being independent (maverick brand firmly in place still.) He really did some stuff like Feingold/McCain campaign reform--and he's living by it.
What O needs to do Thursday: relate to people in a concrete, specific way. I'm not sure he can do this, because it would have helped him so much already, but O needs to say, 'your lives are like this' and 'here's a realistic way I will help.' Not we can't have SUVS and the rest of the world is so much less fortunate than us...it's true and I care and work about stuff like that, but he's running to be the President of us right here and he needs to say, you can keep living your life. You're still working hard, still doing what you should, and I will make sure these for-profit corporations stop overcharging (billions in profit for all oil companies is price-fixing) and make sure you can eat and drive and go to school.
And don't lose my job and my house...
... because I get sick and the insurance companies, in "shared responsbility" mode, decide to fuck me.
[ ] Very tepidly voting for Obama [ ] ?????. [ ] Any mullah-sucking billionaire-teabagging torture-loving pus-encrusted spawn of Cthulhu, bless his (R) heart.
yes exactly
be able to get well from being sick--he must say this too.
Bringiton
Out of curiosity, why is it that we'd have lost the country, permanently, in 2008, and say not in 2000 or 2004 (especially)? I ask this because I've heard others (mostly the OFB
) make the same statement (i.e. This is the most important election, ever). I wondering what Bush did, now, that's so much different than what he'd done up till 2005. It's been my view, in hindsight, that if we did, in fact, lose the country, it was Bush's re-election in 2004. Unlike so many, I'm not sure I feel the urgency that's being pushed this year.
I heard that statement in 1980, and not a single Democratic
party leader has recently taken steps to either modulate that sense of urgency into real action, or take steps to lessen the damage Republicans have caused (pace Tip O'Neill).
It isn't that the boy is crying wolf; it's that the boy's taken so many lunches and junkets with the wolf that we don't understand why he's throwing a hissy, after all this time of being its friend.