Great article I somehow missed by Wayne Barret. Go read. Tom Watson summarizes:
Perhaps Barack Obama really is the kind of once-in-a-lifetime candidate who can get away with tossing two large swing states on the scrap heap, and whipping John McCain with one hand tied behind his hopeful back. But should he fail - and I remain petrified that he might - his campaign's decision not to find common ground on legitimate primaries in Michigan and Florida will be rightly seen as one of the great strategic blunders in Presidential political history.
Veteran New York muckraker Wayne Barrett has the definitive piece in HuffPo on machinations that led us to this strange 48-state strategy. Barrett's take: Republicans set it up, Dean and Obama fell for it (in their zeal to run out the clock on the reviled Clinton), and the rest is - or sadly may be - history.
Of course, the column inches and moments of air time spent on how and why these two states and their 366 delegates have been banished adds up to less than the attention devoted to, say, the Wyoming caucus, where a 2,066-vote Obama margin gave him a big enough delegate boost to virtually cancel out Hillary Clinton's 329,000-vote margin in the five March races.
What's more, argues Barrett (he of the 30-year career exposing the vast patronage underbelly of New York politics), the Republicans set it all up - while the Hillary-hating media could only chant the idiotic playground song of "rules are the rules."
As I've written before, this is a stunning mistake by the Obama campaign; undoubtedly the McCain campaign is working already with the state Republican machines in Michigan and Florida on just the right tone of slogan, just the right video - all of them saying the same thing: the Democrats didn't want your vote. As commenter argent1 adds to Barrett's in-depth reportage:
The long and tedious nuts and bolts doesn't fit well with the "I want it Now" Obamelites. All those retired grandparents may go McCain in FL, and the blue collars of MI as well. The demonstrative snub by Obama and Co. will ruin his chances. Then we'll be hearing boo-hoo-hoo after November 4th trying to blame Clinton for not bowing out in April.
Oh, silly me. Of course WWTSBQ
is an alibi, too, already pre-positioned for the post mortem. The Boiz don't miss a trick, do they?
NOTE Of course, this dispenses with the silly, meta, Inside Baseball idea that the brilliant campaign Obama's running fits him to be President -- unless you argue that disenfranchising the voters of FL is a qualification for the job. Oh, wait....
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This article sets the story straight on MI--before I had thought
the MI Dem state party, governor, and politicians were the leaders on changing the date. Per Barrett, they were not--and the Dem pols who pushed it were in the Obama camp. Later they also realized it was not a good thing, but by then it was too late.
This is such a mess--and that the DNC goes for the death penalty instead of the standard punishment is truly amazing.
Now, it seems the DNC "leaders" are caught in supporting their own stands just to prove they were right initially and are unable to look at reality on the ground.
Dear goddess, power does disturb reasoning ability at times.
FL Dems were simply and purely bumrushed by the ReThugs--who are enjoying every minute of the state Dems' distress. Very Rovian. And in the ReThug contests, with winner take all, losing even 50% of their delegates merely makes for fewer Convention goers, not loss of of impact.
The Law of Rules...
At the Washington Monthly, Josiah Lee Auspitz wrote a great article titled The Law of Rules that outlines the rules within each party, if you have'nt read it yet. Dean is a putz.
workingclass artist
But, but, we weren't duped!
It kind of hilarious because when I've posted comments on this article elsewhere and claim that Florida and national dems were duped by Republicans, I get a long list of quotes from those democrats claiming they weren't duped. As if that should be decisive. What are they going to say, played by the Republicans, AGAIN!
And via Anglachel, Elizabeth Edwards just had the nerve to go on national television and say that not only does Hillary have the better healthcare plan, but the nominating contest should go to the convention:
I guess she hasn't been reading Kos.
See http://www.abcnews.go.com/print?id=4614612
"Do what you feel in your heart to be right -- for you'll be criticized anyway. You'll be damned if you do, and damned if you don't. " - Eleanor Roosevelt
What I think is going to happen...
...is, Dean is going to declare Obama the winner in July, then they are going to retroactively either give him the Florida and Michigan delegates, or split them 50/50, then they will seat the delegates in Denver.
By doing this, they hope to pacify the voters in those two states by trying to convince them that their votes really did matter, when in reality they had nothing to do with choosing the winner.
Of course, when they do this, they can kiss the votes of many supporters of Hillary, such as myself, goodbye come November.
If Obama where to win the election fair and square (which he can't unless there are fair elections in all 50 states), then I would have nothing to to gripe and feel cheated about.
But Howard to Dean is too much of a coward to make a stand and force (or at least try) those two states to have fair elections which could determine the election because he's afraid of Obama's supporters.
OxyCon
Obama's 48 state strategy....
I think this is a case scenario of a power srtuggle between the two factions within the party. These would be the liberals/ the New Left and the progressives/ the New Democrats. The New Democrats moved the party to the center and restructured the platform built by FDR. Liberals tend to get stuck in identity politics. Progressives want the same things but tend to prioritize with economy/labor issues. HRC's healthcare plan is about labor/economic issues, a traditional progressive priority. When Ol' Bill signed NAFTA into legislation, it seemed to make sense as a response to the emerging economic power house European Union. HRC wanting to re-work it is a classic progressive response to problems within the treaty and enforcement. It is incredible to me that the advances of the New Democrats exemplified by Clinton/Gore administration and currently by Sen. Clinton are systematically being dis-mantled within our own party. Expected of the GOP, but within our own party ? No wonder Gore isn't inerested in being in politics anymore.
workingclass artist
Since the Boiz like "the math"
can they explain how any Democrat can win without Florida and Michigan?
Toss out Ohio and Pennsylvania and it's not "virtually impossible," it's simply "impossible."
OxyCon: Dean can declare that the moon is made of green cheese, it's still going to the convention.
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"The thing about democracy, beloveds, is that it is not neat, orderly, or quiet. It requires a certain relish for confusion." - Molly Ivins (RIP)
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“I don't belong to any organized political party. I'm a Democrat.” - Will Rogers
You have the power!
Unless you live in MI or FL.
FL and MI are about more than Hillary and Obama
It's not just about legitimizing the eventual Democratic nominee. It's about the legitimacy of the entire Democratic Party. Rules are rules are rules. But when an institution is allowed to make up rules that result in the deliberate disenfranchisement of innocent voters and get away with it, the excrement has hit the air conditioner.
As much as Hillary or Obama partisans like to make this into a legitimacy of one or the other candidates, they are both failing to notice what is really wrong. Would this be an issue if it were two different candidates? Yes. Would this be an issue if it were 2012 instead of 2008? Yes. A fundamentally unjust system is, well, fundamentally unjust.
I'm perfectly willing to lose a true democratic election. I'm not willing to participate in a system that ceases to be democratic. The silly thing is that super delegates are going to decide this thing no matter what happens with FL and MI. But Obama supporters seems perfectly willing to throw democracy out the door to protect his tiny lead, even if it delegitimizes the entire Democratic Party. The urgency of the situation is muted by focusing on Hillary and Obama. It's the legitimacy of the process and the Party that I'm worried most about.
The ends don't justify the means
I majored in history, and I learned that the most horrific crimes of mankind were perpetrated by people who convinced themselves they were doing the right thing.
The slope is slippery. First you set a worthy goal. Then you convince yourself that achieving that goal is worth sacrificing a few principles.
On that path lies darkness.
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"The thing about democracy, beloveds, is that it is not neat, orderly, or quiet. It requires a certain relish for confusion." - Molly Ivins (RIP)
x
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“I don't belong to any organized political party. I'm a Democrat.” - Will Rogers
Bush v Gore and now FL, MI
iq, what you say is precisely what scares me most about this whole thing. This disenfranchisement isn't some electronic voting conspiracy theory. This is deliberate and in public. And the blogger Boiz are happy to let it happen since it helps their candidate.
Personally, I think electing John McCain will have worse effects than abandoning democracy. It seems like I'm one of the few that thinks that these days, though.
"tossing two large swing states on the scrap heap"
There is all this ink spent on how if we don't count MI and FL delegates the dems will loose both states. I live in MI and blame the fiasco on the state party, not Obama. When we went to the polls, the choices were Hillary (not my favorite), Kusinich (I'm all for him, but no chance to win), Gravel (ditto), Dodd (I appreciate his stand on the telecos, but no chance to win)and UNCOMMITTED. Who was that? Maybe they are for Obama, maybe for Clinton, maybe for who knows whom? There was no Edwards offered. I chose to vote for Ron Paul just because I had no choices I wanted, and Paul was such an embarassment to the repugs. Let them waste money by sending me stuff, since the repugs were going to get the voter list.
Counting Hillary's Michigan votes and calling it the will of the people is way off the mark. For Florida, on the other hand, both names were on the ballot, both candidates played by the same rules, so I could see counting them.
Does not counting them write off either state in the general election? Where is the data? Have polls showed that this would be the case? Most people in FL and in MI (I would think) are going to vote or not vote for whomever for a lot of other better reasons than who got to vote on the first ballot at a convention some months before.
Obama and Clinton both have their flaws, but most folks will do what they do in all elections -- try to decide between the lesser of evils, hold their noses and choose.
I agree with you
totally gizzardboy.
MI was a sham of an election. But who chose to make it so, by removing their name from the ballot? Who chose to continue to make it so, by having their supporters block revotes. Since the FL\MI delegations must be accepted, because the could have an affect on the outcome(it was obvious that the party heads figured the primaries would be concluded early and then MI & FL could be forgiven), they must be accepted as is. I don't like it, I wish Michigan voters had a better election, but voters are only guaranteed a right to vote, not a right to vote for the candidate they want, if that candidate is not on ballot. Obama put himself in this position, and refused to rectify that problem(which demonstrates things about his judgement, just not good things).
Bill Clinton for First Dude!!!
He who will not reason is a bigot; he who cannot is a fool; and he who dares not is a slave.
- Sir William Drummond
He's in it for the money
I'll say it again
He's in it for the money. Win or lose he wins $$$$. Do you really believe for one moment someone who has less regard for his grandma than the average dude in the South does, is going to be loyal to any jack anyone but himself. After the election he'll be able to scam off of the black population just like Wright is, just like televangelists do, without the hassle of the white house.
Dudes it's time you guys woke the frell up.
This is not a hard working guy, he likes his stupidly expensive sandwiches, and let everyone else eat cake for all he cares. He's even stiffin the guys who worked 12 to 16 hour shifts for him in campaign HDqtrs PA.
He could give a cow poke for these weirdos. He's in it for the green, and lots of it.
http://www.correntewire.com/ye_olde_writ... fiction link
That's why the re-vote, gizzardboy
That would have been the equitable solution. Obama blocked it.
(I can see an argument why FL should be counted as is, since all the candidates had equal advantages. But MI is a total Clusterfuck
. And I know Obama took his name of the ballot voluntarily, so he ought to pay a price, but OTOH the controlling principle should be the voters.)
[x] Any (D) in the general. [ ] Any mullah-sucking billionaire-teabagging torture-loving pus-encrusted spawn of Cthulhu, bless his (R) heart.
"First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win." -- Mahatma Gandhi
Feh
Jeqal, Obama's not in it for the money, any more than Clinton was. He's in it for the power. And that's a desireable trait in a politician.
Now, if you want to give a link on the 16 hour shifts thing, that would be useful. Otherwise...
[x] Any (D) in the general. [ ] Any mullah-sucking billionaire-teabagging torture-loving pus-encrusted spawn of Cthulhu, bless his (R) heart.
"First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win." -- Mahatma Gandhi
Feh links
Usually am pretty good with putting in the links
Hold on.
Ok this is page two it is near the bottom.
http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/la-...
Here is another link where Obama has likened Pennsylvania to..."
[quote] xenophobia
Huffpo's Mayhill Fowler has more from Obama's remarks at a San Francisco fundraiser Sunday, and they include an attempt to explain the resentment in small-town Pennsylvania that won't be appreciated by some of the people whose votes Obama's seeking:
You go into these small towns in Pennsylvania and, like a lot of small towns in the Midwest, the jobs have been gone now for 25 years and nothing's replaced them...And they fell through the Clinton administration, and the Bush administration, and each successive administration has said that somehow these communities are gonna regenerate and they have not.
And it's not surprising then they get bitter, they cling to guns or religion or antipathy to people who aren't like them or anti-immigrant sentiment or anti-trade sentiment as a way to explain their frustrations.
That's a pretty broad list of things to explain with job loss. [/quote]
On another blog an obamanite said Obama had just called it for what it is "crackers in dem der hills" ummmm never heard of crackers in PA before but umm ok.........
This is a link to the Fowler article not sure if it links in the quotes here
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/mayhill-fo...
Time will tell but in the huff post above this quote from Obama [quote] These were his exact words to Johnstown March 29. "I'll have the biggest chair, because I'll be President," he added. [/quote]
and on those Florida and Michigan delegates Obama forked over the dough to let them be seated
http://www.princetonstockphoto.com/GROUP...
nothin like the sweet taste of power.
I still think that money and fame is closer to the mark than power. He is a bit of a sissy to me.
[ ] Hitler (D) in the general. [X] Cthulhu, is my (R) homeboy.
http://www.correntewire.com/ye_olde_writ... fiction link
it's the "street money" thing, lambert--
campaigns spread money to ward leaders and other volunteers to GOTV in Philly, but Obama says he won't do it-- i bet he's gonna do it secretly but pretend he didn't have to.
here-- LA Times-- Barack Obama may lose support in Philadelphia over 'street money' -- http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/la-...
I'm confused, jeqal
Forked over money for FL & MI, what?
Please elaborate.
Bill Clinton for First Dude!!!
He who will not reason is a bigot; he who cannot is a fool; and he who dares not is a slave.
- Sir William Drummond
oh I was going to delete that
to get chairs
http://www.dc.state.fl.us/secretary/pres...
http://www.correntewire.com/ye_olde_writ... fiction link
I get it
they're going to be seated in those chairs. OK.
Bill Clinton for First Dude!!!
He who will not reason is a bigot; he who cannot is a fool; and he who dares not is a slave.
- Sir William Drummond