Reality check

lambert's picture

Here's how one of the the deeply committed Obama supportersMR SUBLIMIBAL Oborg explains the basis for Obama's candidacy over at TPM. (The post is about a national Unity ad. They're not gonna throw a single dogwhistle our way; in fact, they're gonna turn the Unity knobs up to 11.) This quote can serve as a stand in for many, many, many, many, many, many, many, many, many, many, many, many, many, many other comments elsewhere:

When Obama says he wants to reach Republicans, of course he doesn't mean the red meat voters; those people are lost to the Democrats forever. He means Chuck Hagel-type Republicans, who are moderate on some social issues, and on foreign policy -- the kind who have been forced by Rove and Bush to toe the line.

Obama doesn't really want to sweep the nation; that's impossible. He just wants 60 seats in the Senate and a handy House majority. 60 seats is filibuster-proof.

And, as I said, this talking point has been repeated, and repeated, and repeated, and repeated, and repeated, and repeated, and repeated, and repeated, and repeated.

Anybody know if there's any, like, evidence to support it?

I'm not a poll wonk, but last I checked all Democrats polled well nationally. Is there any reason to think that the "appealing to the moderate Rebublicans" works? Is something only Obama can do? Can get us to 60 seats in the Senate?

Or is this statement one of those ideas that becomes "true" by repetition?

If you liked this post, buy the author some books.

Comments

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.
vastleft's picture

Is Obama working to replace the Blue Dogs/Bush Dogs?

If he's not up for supporting better Democrats, it'll take a bunch more than 60.

lambert's picture

One, two, many Joe Liebermans!

Who is, after all, Obama's mentor....

[x] Any (D) in the general. [ ] Any mullah-sucking billionaire-teabagging torture-loving pus-encrusted spawn of Cthulhu, bless his (R) heart.

First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win. -- Mahatma Gandhi

Chuck Hagel

I read somewhere (probably on Openleft) that Chuck Hagel was the Senator that voted in accordance with the Bush Administration more than anyone else. I think he had a 97% score in that regard.

Only low-information voters, which I've sadly learned contains too many liberal bloggers, and retards believe that Chuck Hagel is some sort of independent or moderate Republican.

lambert's picture

Blue Dogs

Great comment, VL.

[x] Any (D) in the general. [ ] Any mullah-sucking billionaire-teabagging torture-loving pus-encrusted spawn of Cthulhu, bless his (R) heart.

First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win. -- Mahatma Gandhi

Fuck I Should Have Googled It First

It wasn't OpenLeft, it was Cenk Uygur of The Young Turks over at Huffington Post.

Since the beginning of the Bush Administration (until the time that article was written), Chuck Hagel voted with the Bush administration 95% of the time, according to Cenk's article. http://www.huffingtonpost.com/cenk-uygur/who-is-chuck-hagel_b_40031.html

dr sardonicus's picture

Devil's advocate

I figure the logic goes something like this: 54% voted for Bush in the last election, and GWB's current approval ratings hover around 28%, so the Obamaites look at that other 26% as moderates who are theirs for the taking, and as voters who would mostly return to the GOP if Hillary were nominated.

Obama's argument all along has been that only he can produce a sizable Democratic majority in the House and a filibuster-proof Senate. Apart from the matter of whether Obama is overestimating the length of his coattails, I have two other concerns. First, there's my longstanding conviction that the more that Democrats invite conservatives into the party, the harder it becomes for progressives to articulate and enact a liberal agenda. Also, I disagree with the assumption that the voting pool is a zero-sum game in which Democrats can only win by stealing voters from the GOP side. I've always said that Democrats need to spend less time trying to pick off Republicans and more time making Democrats out of the people who don't vote at all. Unfortunately, it appears that the Democratic leadership is scared of the people who that strategy would bring into the party.

...for the rest of us

Don't no don't now try to get yourself elected
If you do you had better cut your hair

lambert's picture

The marginal utiliy of the last low information voter

How much do we have to give away in integrity?

Has anybody done the math on a 60 seat Senate? Why on earth would that be possible?

Incidentally, in the first iteration of this defense, the Oborg were claiming that Unity was needed to pick off Senators in onesies and twosies.

Now this claim seems to have mutated to a filibuster proof Senate. Any evidence on that?

[x] Any (D) in the general. [ ] Any mullah-sucking billionaire-teabagging torture-loving pus-encrusted spawn of Cthulhu, bless his (R) heart.

First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win. -- Mahatma Gandhi

chicago dyke's picture

i'd like to see links to that

only he can produce a sizable Democratic majority in the House and a filibuster-proof Senate.

is he really making that claim? wow, that's...audacious. a black man, or a woman, or populist, should never say such a thing as they run for prez. it's just ignorant of the reality of the electorate. there are no "coat tails" for any such candidate, not in this media environment, not in this country of the dominant 'victim/white male.'

hayall no. do people really believe that? it's seems...foolish and shortsighted of historical precedent.

Dat be some strange math, perhaps Rovian is the proper...

.....adjective, there that is. Since....

Recent polls show Senator 'Dope', my new nickname arising from the spectacle...sho is...of a Democratic candidate for President of the United States luvin' him some St. Ronnie the Racist Prick, cannot be depended upon to carry...wait for it....wait...wait.....

A single fukin' Southern State.

Now our nightly singalong of Kumbaya....

I don't think we'll be using the nickname Senator 'Coattails' for this clown.

lambert's picture

Hey, A citizen...

Drop me a line:

lambert_strether.corrente AT yahoo DOT com.

[x] Any (D) in the general. [ ] Any mullah-sucking billionaire-teabagging torture-loving pus-encrusted spawn of Cthulhu, bless his (R) heart.

First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win. -- Mahatma Gandhi

Help the hamsters with their winter heating bill ...

… as they power the wheels that turn the servers at The Mighty Corrente Building. Please, won’t you help them keep their cages shiny?

No PayPal Account required! Give the hamsters immediate relief!

Or Subscribe to make a monthly payment!

Corrente is completely supported by contributions from readers. Thank you!

Download Citibank Plutonomy files

Part 1 [PDF]

Part 2 [PDF]

Good reading! Favorite quote: What could go wrong?
Beyond war, inflation, the end of the technology/productivity wave, and financial collapse, we think the most potent and short-term threat would be societies demanding a more ‘equitable’ share of wealth.

The 12 Word Platform

1. Medicare for All

2. End the Wars

3. Tax the Rich

4. A Jobs Guarantee

Senior fellows of The Mighty Corrente Building

Leah (CA), Lambert (PA/ME), RDF (??), BDBlue (DC), Hipparchia (FL), MsExPat (NY), letsgetitdone (DC), twig (LA), Tony Wikrent, (NC), jawbone (PA).

Corresponding fellows

danps.

Western Coordinator

coyotecreek

Correspondents

Health care reform: DCBlogger.

Fellows emeritus

mjs, Riggsveda, Tresy, Tom, hekebolos, chicagodyke, shystee, and Xenophon, Vastleft (MA), Sarah (TX).

Random term

Media Whore. From the now silent site, the great Media Whores Online. Usage example: Rove's bumboy, Howie Kurtz, is a true MW.

I support Americans United for Separation of Church and State.

Americans United is dedicated to preserving the constitutional principle of church-state separation as the only way to ensure religious freedom for all Americans.