Remember how Bush would only negotiate with people who already met his demands?

lambert's picture

Seems like Barry's got the same mindset Bush does (at least on not disenfranchising delegates). Jerome:

MI Dems: They've postponed until April 19th for selecting delegates. It's said (conference call) that the Obama campaign's starting position for negotiations [sic] is that only a 50-50 delegate split is acceptable, and no distribution from the votes (this deserves follow-up). I don't understand why either of the candidates even have a say, or a veto, in how the state decides the formula of how they will attempt a DNC-sanctioned election.

Hey, what's mine is mine, and what's yours is negotiable!

The only problem with the 50/50 idea is that there's a name for it:

Theft. What Jeralyn said:

On January 15, 2008, 594,398 Democrats went to their polling places and voted in their state’s primary. The official Michigan election results are here.

328,309 Democrats in Michigan voted for Hillary Clinton. She won all but two counties, Washtenaw and Emmet. 238,168 voted uncommitted. 21,715 voted for Dennis Kucinich. 3,845 voted for Chris Dodd. 2,361 voted for Mike Gravel.

Hillary got 55% of the vote. The uncommitted, who either were truly uncommitted or for Obama, Edwards or Biden, all three of whom voluntarily withdrew their names from the ballot, got 40%. Kucinich, Dodd and Gravel won 5% of the vote.

Barack Obama now proposes he get 50% of the state’s delegates. That would be vote-stealing. It would be disenfranchising 5% of Hillary’s voters. It would be assuming that every uncommitted voter and every voter for Kucinich, Dodd and Gravel now want their vote to go to Obama.

That’s called stealing an election.

Hey, remember the happy innocent days when we hadn't gotten to know Barry, yet? I remember, back on the threads at The Obama 527 Formerly Known As The Kos Community, asking, like, How will you get Universal Health Care through without confronting Republicans? And the answer was always, Well, Barry has Mad Negotiation Skillz, and he'll sit everyboyd down round the big table, and ... negotiate.

Good times. Now it turns out that Barry's using the same negotiation tactics that Bush does. Well, it worked out for Bush....

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intranets's picture

overton

Hillary's mistake here is that she should be pushing for none of the 40% to go to Obama, his name wasn't on the ballot. The delegates not assigned to Hillary should be allowed to choose any candidate they want to (like Gravel). Is anyone officially running except Gravel and Obama? I think Edwards is technically hold delegates to have platform at convention? So maybe some of those are Edward delegates.

blogtopus's picture

Stop it

You're killing me with all this reality! cough cough ughgh...

I'd try to play dumb, but I'm not that smart.

gqmartinez's picture

Institutionalized Disenfranchisement

I seriously doubt the Dems will exclude FL and MI. I think it's a game of chicken that Obama and his allies at the DNC are playing to try to force Hillary out now. Obama had his chance for revotes, but chose to reject it. Since he did that, he essentially ceded the validity of the original vote in the long term.

Only tyrants rig elections.

joc's picture

It is politics that is the art of compromise

Obama is not a politician, he's a movement!

rootless's picture

michigan vote

So the official position here is that voting "uncommitted" is plenty of democracy for Edwards and Obama voters?

BDBlue's picture

Edwards and Obama supporters

Edwards and Obama withdrew their names from the Michigan ballot. Now, that sucks for their voters, but another part of democracy is that you can't force someone to keep his name on the ballot, especially when there are New Hampshire and Iowa voters to pander to. If Michigan voters are upset that Obama and Edwards decided they cared more about Iowa and New Hampshire voters than Michigan, their complaint lies with their candidates.

"Do what you feel in your heart to be right -- for you'll be criticized anyway. You'll be damned if you do, and damned if you don't. " - Eleanor Roosevelt

amberglow's picture

yup-they were being high and mighty to make Hillary look petty,

but now it's backfired on Obama.

rootless's picture

so edwards is nearly as bad as obama?

And what amazing strategy - to make Hillary look bad, they decided to not appear on the ballot! They must be dreadful people indeed.

Thanks god that there are perspicacious democrats like you guys to see through their evil plans.

amberglow's picture

nope but on MI they were both wrong--

they were seriously using an entire state to make a point they thought made them look good--it didn't.

politics is not about high-minded statements--they made one in MI.

lambert's picture

Elevate your game, rootless!

No, they knew Hillary would win (big state) and so they withdrew to taint her victory. It's certainly a tenable theory. See Bob Scheider at CNN, for example. Elevate your game!

[x] Any (D) in the general. [ ] Any mullah-sucking billionaire-teabagging torture-loving pus-encrusted spawn of Cthulhu, bless his (R) heart.

First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win. -- Mahatma Gandhi

amberglow's picture

i didn't know she was expected to carry it anyway--

and i forgot Dodd stayed on the ballot too...

I still find it interesting that MI was statement-worthy, but none of them took their names off FL--it's too big and important always.

wasabi's picture

About Florida

I understand that they could have taken their name of the ballot for the primary, but once they did, they were not eligible to be on the ballot in November.

amberglow's picture

wasabi, was that a FL rule or DNC rule?

i wouldn't put it past the FL GOP to do something like that.

rootless's picture

No, they knew Hillary would

No, they knew Hillary would win (big state) and so they withdrew to taint her victory. It’s certainly a tenable theory. See Bob Scheider at CNN, for example. Elevate your game!

So in October, Edwards, Obama, Biden, and Richardson all knew Hillary was unbeatable in Michigan and, nefariously, took their names off the ballot just to taint her victory! Wow watta theory.

They made up some silly excuses though:

Edwards campaign manager David Bonior stressed, in an emailed statement, that the early states provide an alternative to "money, celebrity, and advertisements."

"It's important we respect the role that the four early states play in the nominating process. In Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Nevada voters can look their candidate in the eye and determine who is best to bring about real change in America," Bonior said.

No immediate comment from Clinton or Obama.

A spokesman for Richardson, Tom Reynolds, writes, "Governor Richardson has pledged not to compete in any states holding contests before February 5 except those first four sanctioned by the DNC, and he keeps his word."

http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/1...

Cynically manipulating the process in order to give Hillary more delegates- how dreadful of them.

"Today's decision reaffirms our pledge to respect the primary calendar as established by the DNC and makes it clear that we will not play into the politics of money and Republican machinations that only serve to interfere with the primary calendar," said Biden campaign manager Luis Navarro.

http://www.cnn.com/2007/POLITICS/10/09/m...

Of course, none of those excuses could be true. In reality Biden, Edwards, and the rest were collaborating with the evil Obama Sharia Law plot to make Hillary Look Bad.

I guess.

Voodoo Chile's picture

On the bright side Lambert,

On the bright side Lambert, at least Obama is showing a smarter negotiating strategy about delegates than he did about health care mandates...

rootless's picture

See Bob Scheider at CNN,

See Bob Scheider at CNN, for example.

You did not understand Scheider's theory. His theory was that the other campaigners thought they could not beat the front runner without campaigning. Since Hillary was the consensus bet to win easily in October, the inevitable candidate, it makes sense that the other candidates who were required by DNC rules not to campaign in Michigan were unsure of their ability to win.

lambert's picture

Oh-k-a-a-a-y

I'll go with your theory, then, rootless, for the sake of the argument (this is a good for one time only pass).

Explain to me again how, when you don't campaign in a state, you still get 50% of the delegates? I must not have gotten the memo.

[x] Any (D) in the general. [ ] Any mullah-sucking billionaire-teabagging torture-loving pus-encrusted spawn of Cthulhu, bless his (R) heart.

First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win. -- Mahatma Gandhi

rootless's picture

Post-facto rule change

The DNC said that the state primary did not count and required candidates not to campaign. That was the rule. I do not recall Senator Clinton objecting to the rule at the time. All the candidates agreed that MI would not count.

The five candidates, as well as Sens. Hillary Clinton of New York and Chris Dodd of Connecticut, had already agreed not to campaign in Michigan and Florida, both of which bucked party rules by scheduling their nominating contests before February 5.

If Senator Clinton wanted MI's primary to count, she had every opportunity to argue her case at theDNC or even to announce that she would defy DNC rules. She did not. Now, behind in the delegates selected under the rules, she wants to change the rules retroactively to count delegates she "won" in an election that did not have her main opponents as a choice, that she agreed not to participate in, and where the DNC told voters not to come to the polls.

But of course, all this means that Obama is perfidious. No?

rootless's picture

50% is terribly unjust

when exit polls showed 46% clinton and 35% obama in michigan - without any campaigning by obama and no real reason for obama voters to come to the polls at all. Clearly Senator Clinton should get the vast majority of the delegates because, well, just because.

amberglow's picture

they could give all "uncommitted" to Obama, but he killed that

and killed the revote idea too...

he just wants to prevent any of them counting for her at this point.

lambert's picture

Thank you for commenting,

Thank you for commenting, rootless. Your comment is important to us. Please do not hesitate to repeat your linkless, already refuted talking points.

[x] Any (D) in the general. [ ] Any mullah-sucking billionaire-teabagging torture-loving pus-encrusted spawn of Cthulhu, bless his (R) heart.

First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win. -- Mahatma Gandhi

amberglow's picture

but i don't know anyone anywhere who seriously thought

MI and FL wouldn't count for real--this was bluffs, and bluster and a power play--both states were and are still too vital not to count--

the vast majority of Dems still think that they'll be counted come the convention in some form or another.

manahmanah's picture

If I can weigh in here

I live in Michigan and I can say that I don't know anybody who thought the primary would count "for real". And I know lots of people who stayed home for this very reason.

I can link to one interested party (not a Michigander, mind you) who said "its clear this election they're having is not going to count for anything":

The AP; October 11, 2007

Reality check: Seating the Michigan delegates will disenfranchise voters no matter how its done, absent a revote. Influencing voters to stay home, because they believe their votes won't count - yes this was undeniably the conventional wisdom in Michigan - and then (surprise) counting the votes, is disenfranchisement. Worse, actually, its selective disenfranchisement. Not as bad as a poll tax or literacy test, but undemocratic for sure.

The situation was fucked the moment Granholm, Dingell and Brewer engineered this fiasco and defiantly moved the primary debate. Sure the existing system favoring IA and NH is screwed up and needs fixing, but it needs to be done procedurally. If MI and FL were left alone by the DNC, other states would have been falling over themselves to move ahead in the calendar, creating a bigger clusterfuck than it primary season already was.

And why wouldn't Obama have removed his name after getting bad press for breaking the pledge by talking to reporters in Florida? Link

Yeah, the 50/50 proposal is BS. Its one bit of Obama politicking that I can't get behind. But all the spin about Michigan that has come from the Clinton campaign since they realized Obama could win has really pissed me off a resident of this state.

lambert's picture

I keep running into ways that FL and MI are different

Gad. In FL, IIRC, people did expect it to count. The party told them the situation was under appeal, and they voted in record numbers.

What was voter turnout like? If it was up, that suggests to me that plenty of people thought it was real.

[x] Any (D) in the general. [ ] Any mullah-sucking billionaire-teabagging torture-loving pus-encrusted spawn of Cthulhu, bless his (R) heart.

First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win. -- Mahatma Gandhi

amberglow's picture

i'm surprised by that, manahmanah--

love your name, btw : >

I think the rest of us believed that it would have to count no matter what--and that after 2000, there's no way our party would actually not count every vote--we're supposed to be the party that protects voting, not disregards it or throws any away.

manahmanah's picture

An independent study

shows that an estimated 2.3 million MI & FL voters "did not participate in their primaries but likely would have had they expected their vote to count.”

article here

Study found here (PDF file).

Lambert - Florida turnout was relatively high due to a property tax initative on the ballot - but still lower than would have been expected. (Michigan had no down ticket votes, btw.) This study is the closest thing I've seen to unbiased examination of the legitimacy of these primaries.

I agree that in this country, and in elections run by Dems, votes should count. But seating delegates, as is, leaves 2 million+ out in the cold. That is not acceptable to me.

I'm sorry. But you can't tell a state that the votes won't count and then count them. If its not disenfranchisement, its election fraud. My memory is that in Florida, there was still little expectation that the votes would count until HRC held her "victory party". Even if they were expected to count - it was an uncontested primary. No GOTV, no boots on the ground, no townhalls, rallys and handshaking. No grassroots, no phonebanking... etc. In some countries, this passes as a fair election - not this country, though.

intranets's picture

FL counts

I can see a reasonable expectation that FL would count. But MI clearly had some joke on the ballot "Uncommitted" and people were confused what that even meant. I don't think the average voter in MI expected the election to count, and there are media reports of Dem officials telling people that race wasn't really meaningful. I think people that voted were there for other races anyways.

You could probably confirm this by checking the undervote on downticket races in MI, compared to other states.

rootless's picture

thanks lambert for your ridiculous indignation

Here are the exit polls - easily found by anyone who wants to.
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/21225987/

So:
1) The Democratic party said the primary would not count.
2) All candidates agreed not to campaign in order to show commitment to DNC rules.
3) The party told voters the primary would not count.
4) Exit polls showed a narrow split, and it's hard to believe that all voters showed up for what they were told was a non-meaningful election.
5) Senator Clinton, in a hard ball move, decided to stay on the ballot - so voters for Edwards and Obama could mark "uncommitted".
6) The Michican party made no serious effort to find an alternate date

And from that, we conclude that Obama is a perfidious evil political opportunist for not wanting to count the results of the people's choice in Michigan. Let's jump up and down! The downpressor is crushing the will of the masses and imposing sharia law. Rise up! Solidarity forever!

kelley b's picture

Correct

I am a Michigan Democrat who would have voted for Edwards.

Rootless's description of what occurred in the Michigan primary is entirely correct. I experienced it.

Manahmanah is also correct. You can’t tell a state that the votes won’t count and then count them.

I realize the "official" take of this site is that Clinton presents the lesser of two evils. I realize the sense of desperation is more focussed on the dread of 4 more years of Republican control and what that will do to the nation and the world. I realize that my take, that the two evils are so closely matched as to be indistinguishable, but either being acceptable over McCain, was shared by 80% of the Democrats voting on Super Tuesday, but is not particularly welcome here.

You should understand there are many long time Corrente readers, commentors, and even a Senior Fellow or two that find a lot of the posts here vehemently supporting Clinton against Obama very unreasonable, just as we have found the pro-Obama anti-Clinton zealotry unreasonable elsewhere.

Corrente has turned itself into the anti-Kos.

The only people who find this amusing are the Clintonista zealots and every Republican operative in cyberspace.

Please, a little more reality, a lot less zealotry.

No Hell below us
Above us, only sky

A. Citizen's picture

I did not find this comment amusing, nor productive....

...............if you think folks here are being 'violent' about their support for Clinton I suggest you go read a couple of the threads lambert references at CheetoLand.

Read all 1000+ comments....if your stomach will allow it.

Which is not to say that Obama's bad is Clinton's good nor the opposite. Folks will be writing research papers on the descent of the so-called 'progressive' movement into ReichWing mentality for decades.

But to imply that it's lambert who is 'doing this' is utterly ridiculous. Traffic patterns show a tremendous exodus from CheetoLand to sites where dialogue is respected. Whether you believe it or not this is such a one.

A. Citizen

Peace, Health and Prosperity for Everyone.

lambert's picture

Various responses to Kelley

Kelley:

A few things.

1. You write:

I realize that my take, that the two evils are so closely matched as to be indistinguishable, but either being acceptable over McCain, was shared by 80% of the Democrats voting on Super Tuesday, but is not particularly welcome here.

See my sig. I believe that the differences between Hillary and Obama are real, but I will absolutely vote for either Dem nominee in the general. Neither of them would help kill and barbecue a dog, for example, like McCain' finande director Fred Malek. Vote for the Dems! They're not sociopaths!

2. You write:

You should understand there are many long time Corrente readers, commentors, and even a Senior Fellow or two that find a lot of the posts here vehemently supporting Clinton against Obama very unreasonable, just as we have found the pro-Obama anti-Clinton zealotry unreasonable elsewhere.

I'm not really sure how to take concrete action to avoid being tagged with a generic adjective like "vehement." If you want to put this post and the post screen dumped here in the same category, I'm really not sure how to respond.

If you view the A-List*, for example, as not being zealous or vehement in support of Obama, go read them.

Or if you feel that this blog should provide the balance that I, for one, feel that the A-List does not provide, then you are entirely free to be the change you seek by posting your views. That goes for anyone. And if you feel that this wouldn't be "welcome," then those are your feelings, and it's up to you to give them whatever weight you wish.

Or if you feel that somehow a C-list blog is going to swing the election in a way that the entire VRWC is not... Well, I'm not getting paid enough, that's all I can say. (And you might also speak to the Obama campaign on this matter as well.)

Finally, surely you cannot be saying that I shouldn't be advocating forcefully for the candidate I support? Because that would mean that you're really telling me to Shut The Fuck Up, and I find that hard to believe.

As to numbers: Yes, we've benefited from the general purge of Hillary supporters (and moderates like Tom, perhaps) from the A list. Is the suggestion that we should not support the needs of these new readers?

NOTE On Michigan: I'm checking; I don't mind putting out information that has a clear point, but I don't knowingly propagate that which is false; I don't make claims, for example, to be involved in a "high stakes" Senate race in 2002 when I only declared for the Senate in 2003.

To me, the central question is: Did the voters of Michigan expect that their votes would not count? I find it hard to believe that they felt that way in the mass, despite the individual comments here, with all respect to you, KB, and all due respect to rootles. IIRC, Conyers was urging people to vote undecided. This probably deserves a post. I know CD has posted on MI but what would be nice is a timeline.

NOTE * With the notable exception of Lord Eschaton.

[x] Any (D) in the general. [ ] Any mullah-sucking billionaire-teabagging torture-loving pus-encrusted spawn of Cthulhu, bless his (R) heart.

First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win. -- Mahatma Gandhi

cenobite's picture

This is about the will of MI democrats first, right?

So has there been any polling to find out what corrective action they want, if any?

If there hasn't been, that's a lot cheaper than an election that may not even have a positive effect...

BDBlue's picture

Strategic Use of Claiming Vote for McCain

I think one of the reasons a number of Clinton supporters are claiming they will vote for McCain if Obama is the nominee is strategic. Obama and his campaign have repeatedly stated, implied, and inferred that Hillary won't get his votes, but he'll get hers (see http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2...). The implication is that in an essentially tied race, the SDs must choose him or split the party. The natural strategic reaction to this is to remind the SDs that Hillary has a lot of supporters, too, and not to take them for granted as Obama is suggesting - that the SDs can't just say that Obama folks will leave and Hillary folks will stay, so let's go with Obama (now, in a perfect world, the candidate threatening to split the party would face a backlash, but the democratic party is not a perfect world). The easiest way for Hillary supporters to combat this Obama tactic is to threaten to stay home or vote for McCain.

Of course, as polls have repeatedly shown (see, e.g., http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archive...), more Democrats stay with the party if Hillary is the nominee than if Obama is, so it's not entirely untrue that some of her supporters will defect, and there are other considerations for Hillary supporters, such as the sexism embraced by Obama and his campaign and where that leaves feminists, but I think when we're talking about internet posters, most of it is to counter the incredibly arrogant suggestion that Hillary's voters don't matter and can be taken for granted.

I should say that part of what I find most noxious in the Obama assertion about Hillary not getting his voters is how it connects with his use of race and his slurring of the Clintons as racists. The predictable result is that SDs are worried about AA voters sticking with the party. Now, I think it's great to want AA voters to stick with the party, but it seems a little weird to reward the guy whose actions have made that less likely.

"Do what you feel in your heart to be right -- for you'll be criticized anyway. You'll be damned if you do, and damned if you don't. " - Eleanor Roosevelt

kelley b's picture

No choice at all was given the Michigan voters

If you don't believe me, go read the MLive archives. The Michigan primary was reported to Michigan voters as "meaningless" before and afterwards by local and national media.

I don't know of any Democrat personally who thought their vote would count for anything on January 15th. I don't know of a single one many who actually bothered voting that day. Did cd?

We all thought it wouldn't count

The Hillary hardcore, pro- and anti-, both made points of voting that day. That was about it. Those of us who had any other candidate, but maybe didn't see any point of laying hate on Hillary, didn't.

Lambert, I know perfectly well you intend to vote for whichever is the eventual nominee, as will I.

I apologize for any offense given you. By all means, keep talking. But realize there is a point where talking tends to have the opposite effect on people of what you intend. I know I certainly make that error routinely.

No Hell below us
Above us, only sky

amberglow's picture

but tons of people came out to vote anyway--in

MI and FL.

manahmanah's picture

So its SOL

for the 2.3 million who stayed home because they were told it was as influential as voting. That's not a fair election. Sorry, in many ways giving a voice to not quite all the voters is worse than none at all.

Also, the primaries were uncontested. That matters in a democracy as well.

amberglow's picture

FL was not at all uncontested, and had record turnout

many people came out in both states--and Clinton, Dodd, (and maybe Gravel) were on the ballot in MI for sure

kelley b's picture

Gadfly

Look at the pretty circular firing squad, as the two flawed Democratic candidates and their apparaticik get into a steelcage deathmatch.

Meanwhile, McCain and whoever the Fourth Branch appoints as his real boss get to proceed with the $electoral theft and the associated propaganda catapult.

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