A friend sent me an email this morning:

The Administration is timing results in Iraq to best influence results in 2008 elections. They have paid members of the Iraqi Parliament to delay development of a government and have made closed-door deals with various factions. Look for gradual developments towards resolutions to be parceled out starting in March. Throughout the Spring and Summer, a variety of already scripted announcements will be unveiled and will lead to some kind of reasonably stable arrangement in Iraq. Democrats will be placed in a very difficult situation and Mike Huckabee will be the next president. Also, oil prices will drop back to $50-60 a barrel.

You heard it here first…

We mostly subscribe to chaos theory here in the Mighty Corrente Building (“Chaos is the plan”) but my friend offered a helpful explanation that underlies all good tinfoil hattery: a belief that someone is in charge:

“I just want to believe that someone knows what is going on and so I develop theories that point to a controlling agent behind it all.”

I would only add that the GOP will be feeding the press the story “Improved Security Situation Enables Troop Withdrawals” when in fact, the draw down was part of the plan all along because the surge was unsustainable. We already heard voices over the weekend talk shows that the surge has been the most effective counter-insurgency operation in the history of mankind. And when Muqtada al-Sadr ends his cease-fire and all hell breaks loose, they will just say they want the Democrats to win. And that it is proof the surge worked. I can’t wait.

I think my not-normally-tinfoil-hat-inclined friend may be onto something.