50% of WCVB focus group believe Clinton won! Vs. 27% for Obama. I guess I'm really wrong....
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50% of WCVB focus group believe Clinton won! Vs. 27% for Obama. I guess I'm really wrong....
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"What Obama Really Meant
" -- a rationalization for a controversial statement by Barack Obama.
Originally, a fictitious game show where such rationalizations are put forth.
Comments
What do you think?
I thought it was terrific.
1. No knockout by either side.
2. Not sure she had to. She marked him some, and I think he's going to keep bleeding. Both solidified their support, I'm sure, but I doubt either made new converts. But PA is hers to lose, not is to win....
3. But I give to Hillary on points. I would, though! But the reason, basically: I think she just can't wait to get government working again! That's what I want. I don't get that from Obama....
The journalists reaction was that Clinton successfully made the point that there's a lot about Obama we don't know. In fact, she's right.
I'm not sure her Bosnia answer was that great, and no doubt the OFB
will go to town on it. But as she said, Whatever I am, I'm not stupid... Write it up in the book, then lie? Not likely. Gotta check the YouTube on that one...
[x] Any (D) in the general. [ ] Any mullah-sucking billionaire-teabagging torture-loving pus-encrusted spawn of Cthulhu, bless his (R) heart.
[x] Any (D) in the general. [ ] Any mullah-sucking billionaire-teabagging torture-loving pus-encrusted spawn of Cthulhu, bless his (R) heart.
"First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win." -- Mahatma Gandhi
Governor Rendell...
Hillary: A+, Obama: B-... Which is what the focus group says...
[x] Any (D) in the general. [ ] Any mullah-sucking billionaire-teabagging torture-loving pus-encrusted spawn of Cthulhu, bless his (R) heart.
"First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win." -- Mahatma Gandhi
The spin room.... Student interviews...
Fattah: 5 day road tour, we're happy with the debate. This campaign will be decided on election day....
Hoeffel: Articulate and focused, clear plan on where she wants to take the country... She needs a strong victory. Lead down to 5, need double, this debate will help...
Nidia, with voters... Focus on issues, gas, economy, Iraq. Obama gets good response on change the culture, that's the job of next Pres. Respond pos to bringing group together.
Now UPenn poliSci students.... They all thought Hillary won (!!) Why?
Ken: Obama missed the mark on "small towns"
Jesses (once R now D): Leaning toward Obama, getting beyond "partisan bickering" [what a weasel, I think he's a ringer]
Stacy: Hillary did a great job pinning McCain to Bush and "just railed"
...: Honesty an issue, but did a great job....
Interesting!
[x] Any (D) in the general. [ ] Any mullah-sucking billionaire-teabagging torture-loving pus-encrusted spawn of Cthulhu, bless his (R) heart.
"First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win." -- Mahatma Gandhi
Winners are losers
That's the way it works. Halperin gives it to Obama and since he's a journalist he can repeat that over and over until it becomes CW
.
Also, how can Obama lose when he gets applause for sneezing--for sneezing!
Only tyrants rig elections.
Here come the talking heads...
Sheesh, whoever's been watching George S, I'm really sorry for them...
Why aren't they up on Atrios's deck?
The talking heads are just vapid, everything else much more interesting.
[x] Any (D) in the general. [ ] Any mullah-sucking billionaire-teabagging torture-loving pus-encrusted spawn of Cthulhu, bless his (R) heart.
"First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win." -- Mahatma Gandhi
Irrelavency
If Hillary wins the nomination, the relevancy of the media and the Blog Boiz diminishes greatly. There are worse things in life than that happening, I suppose.
Only tyrants rig elections.
I think that Obama is getting the better grade
Because he was actually treated like a Democrat. All the silly shit, and yes Wright, Ayers, Auchi, are all silly shit, they will cause Obama to lose, b/c the media loves to give Democrats the silly shit.
It's like gymnastics(a sport I love!!) When a gymnast is going to a stunt on the vault, they begin with a starting score, based on difficulty.
Hillary's side of the debate(from what I've seen commented, I don't watch TV) let her play to her strengths, policy. Obama's side was a sample of what we'll see in the General, Wright, Ayers etc. So Clinton's starting score was 9.5, while Obama's was a 10.0.
Bill Clinton for First Dude!!!
He who will not reason is a bigot; he who cannot is a fool; and he who dares not is a slave.
- Sir William Drummond
Hee-hee
Tomorrow's Headlines about the debate, via The Confluence
A sample
"“How Hillary Clinton Destroyed The Democratic Party By Purposefully Knowing More Stuff Than Barack Obama”"
Bill Clinton for First Dude!!!
He who will not reason is a bigot; he who cannot is a fool; and he who dares not is a slave.
- Sir William Drummond
Aeryl: Remember Gore v. Bush?
Gore kicked ass, but the media gave it to Bush because he didn't shit himself.
Strategery!
------------------------------------------------
"If I was Vice-President, you know what I'd do?
Pretty much anything I wanted to!
Vote for me!" - Joe Walsh (channeling Dick Cheney)
x
------------------------------------------------
“I don't belong to any organized political party. I'm a Democrat.” - Will Rogers
Exactly
Bill Clinton for First Dude!!!
He who will not reason is a bigot; he who cannot is a fool; and he who dares not is a slave.
- Sir William Drummond
But this time around, everybody admits that the press sucks
See Attytood.
So maybe Goring will be harder, now.
[x] Any (D) in the general. [ ] Any mullah-sucking billionaire-teabagging torture-loving pus-encrusted spawn of Cthulhu, bless his (R) heart.
"First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win." -- Mahatma Gandhi
I was listening...
but not watching when they announced the focus group results.
I thought they say that Clinton got 15%... and when I heard the "draw" number and "clear victory" stuff, I was soooooo happy! ;)
And if I'm an "average Democrat" and I'm watching this debate, I'm probably thinking -- "I don't like Hillary that much, but that other guy isn't ready."
That's the final takeaway from this... Obama just isn't ready.
I think Hillary should have committed
to offering Obama the VP job if he wanted it.
That would have showed class.
------------------------------------------------
"If I was Vice-President, you know what I'd do?
Pretty much anything I wanted to!
Vote for me!" - Joe Walsh (channeling Dick Cheney)
x
------------------------------------------------
“I don't belong to any organized political party. I'm a Democrat.” - Will Rogers
They tried to get her to say Obama couldn't win
she dodged it, without denying it, then Steffi made her say yes, he could win.
What else could she say?
------------------------------------------------
"If I was Vice-President, you know what I'd do?
Pretty much anything I wanted to!
Vote for me!" - Joe Walsh (channeling Dick Cheney)
x
------------------------------------------------
“I don't belong to any organized political party. I'm a Democrat.” - Will Rogers
"PA is hers to lose, not is to win…." --wrong premise--
this whole premise is false and hurts Clinton--Obama should be the one to have to win PA to prove he's actually a winner, and can actually get the groups he doesn't get.
Paul, that's what I thought
In some ways, I don't blame the press for the format issues. This quantity of debates is a new thing, and frankly I think that's all to the good that there are many of them. They are great events, people like them, but also the press doesn't know how to cover them. So they try format as if it were a sports event, and give the political reporters way too much power. What's needed is a Roone Arledge of political debates, but there isn't one. Yet.
I don't know boxing all that well, but Obama -- and here I'm not in tendentious mode, as you can see from the comments, I was too busy typing to work up the snark -- reminded me of a light heavyweight trying to move up to the heavyweight class, against a heavyweight who's both older and a lot more experienced than he is. So, while Obama's got a quick punch, there's little power behind it, and he was never anywhere near putting Hillary away, and she just kept moving and jabbing and slipping and cutting him. (She was also much better managing the clock, as she managed an exhange to get the last work before a break...) I think tomorrow Hillary's going to wake up fresh as a daisy, and Obama's going to wake up knowing he's been in a fight.
You can see he's bright, but he's meta. He has a process kinda in mind that will take the country... Somewhere, but we don't know where. Hillary, on the other hand, is overflowing with plans. She's trying to co-opt him on the Unity
schtick, and he's trying to co-opt her on "economic insecurity." She does a better job than expected on the first ("empowering people" is good) and he doesn't do a very good job pivoting to the second, because that's never been his thing. It's also clear that's his response to the "clingto" fiasco (an exchange she clearly won. She didn't say "You said what you said, and you meant what you said," but she came pretty close.)
Yes, he's not ready. He's like the OFB
when you engage them -- after two or three exchanges at the most, they revert to generalities or say "look at my website."
[x] Any (D) in the general. [ ] Any mullah-sucking billionaire-teabagging torture-loving pus-encrusted spawn of Cthulhu, bless his (R) heart.
"First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win." -- Mahatma Gandhi
Obama had a slam prepared
but botched it. The whole "baking cookies - she learned the wrong lesson" had potential but he muffed it. Timing and delivery is everything.
------------------------------------------------
"If I was Vice-President, you know what I'd do?
Pretty much anything I wanted to!
Vote for me!" - Joe Walsh (channeling Dick Cheney)
x
------------------------------------------------
“I don't belong to any organized political party. I'm a Democrat.” - Will Rogers
Yes, the cookies was muffed...
Again, Obama has real difficulty making a clean punch. Exact same thing as with closing the deal.
[x] Any (D) in the general. [ ] Any mullah-sucking billionaire-teabagging torture-loving pus-encrusted spawn of Cthulhu, bless his (R) heart.
"First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win." -- Mahatma Gandhi
lambert: The Democrats need to form a committee
to run the debates, and find someone like Bill Moyers to moderate. A fair format, no "gotcha" type questions, but no softballs either.
Let the media cover them, not run them.
The general election debates were better when the LWV ran them.
------------------------------------------------
"If I was Vice-President, you know what I'd do?
Pretty much anything I wanted to!
Vote for me!" - Joe Walsh (channeling Dick Cheney)
x
------------------------------------------------
“I don't belong to any organized political party. I'm a Democrat.” - Will Rogers
"Somewhere, but we don’t know where"--which is why
all the associates and connections and stuff become even more important--and why him simply evading, lying or dismissing those questions as "political games" or whatever is not at all sufficient.
He dodges all those questions or lies about relationships and stuff, and either thinks that people really don't want to hear about this stuff or that he can change the subject--it's not working bec Wright keeps coming up over and over and his patriotism keeps being questioned over and over, etc.
Hillary won
She was more in command. Of course, they weren't gunning for her the way they were earlier, and they were for Obama tonight. Tag team kept him off balance. Turnabout is fair play, I suppose. Obama looked tentative.
If Obama hoped this would turn Pennsylvania around, it doesn't look like it did. Is he permanently damaged? I don't think so. But who knows.
I will come down on the moderators. I suppose I can forgive the BS about Ayers, etc., but what I can't forgive is Charley Gibson OVER and OVER insisting and INTERRUPTING that lowering capital gains taxes ALWAYS increases revenue. Neither candidate was prepared for this. It's loonytunes. One or both should have hit it out of the park, but I suppose since neither was prepared, both knew it was bullshit, but didn't have facts at the ready to make the point. Obama tried a little but couldn't. Hillary ignored it.
Gotta stop letting these asswipes run our debates.
------------------------------------------------------
Just because YOU "wouldn't put it past 'em" doesn't prove THEY did it.
Obama fucked up
when he compared Coburn to Ayers. The Freepers and fundies will go berserk.
Oooh, The line from Hillary about the GOP not running anyone killed.
Obama mentions the pardons of the WU, got a golf clap.
------------------------------------------------
"If I was Vice-President, you know what I'd do?
Pretty much anything I wanted to!
Vote for me!" - Joe Walsh (channeling Dick Cheney)
x
------------------------------------------------
“I don't belong to any organized political party. I'm a Democrat.” - Will Rogers
Oh, the capital gains stuff was just so, so stupid
And he kept harping on it, over and over and over. It was like somebody.... incentivized him, Stivo.
[x] Any (D) in the general. [ ] Any mullah-sucking billionaire-teabagging torture-loving pus-encrusted spawn of Cthulhu, bless his (R) heart.
"First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win." -- Mahatma Gandhi
Charles Gibson is obsessed
Charles Gibson is obsessed with the capital gains tax.
Mr. seven-million-dollars-a-year salary should not be asking questions about tax breaks for the rich.
again and again and again - he wants the Democrats to assure him that rich people (like the moderators!) can keep all their hard-earned money.
I don't like Charlie (or Georgie: but what-about-gun-control?!!! you said... you said...)
Were there questions about torture? I didn't watch the whole thing.
Were there?
What is this "torture" of which you speak?
I should say that when I say I thought the debate was great, which I do think, I mean I thought that the candidates were great.
The moderators? "Great" in the way that mud on a horse-track is really great. But those are the conditions you have the horse race in...
[x] Any (D) in the general. [ ] Any mullah-sucking billionaire-teabagging torture-loving pus-encrusted spawn of Cthulhu, bless his (R) heart.
"First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win." -- Mahatma Gandhi
better than Russert's debates tho...
those are appalling.
Winning the debate
Hillary has won just about every debate, in both undecided focus groups and media elite critiques. This debate was no exception. That said, this isn't really how a candidate gains votes and, in turn, really "wins" the debate. I mean, how many voters who are undecided actually watched a substantial portion? I would guess not many.
What matters are the new narratives that emerge and play out in the media and eventually reach voters. So, what will they be? My guess:
1) Moderators suck: 50 minutes of debate before the first policy question. Rehashing the same tabloid stuff that the public has been saturated with.
2) Ayers/WU hits the mainstream. Its damaging to both HRC (WU pardons) and BHO. McCain wins on this story.
3) Obama weathers the onslaught of tough questions. Satisfactory for superdelegates? Probably.
Botton line: meh. I don't think the presidential race changes much at all after this debate.
Last points that I can't help but to bring up here.
-
ObamaClinton twice referred to her website for policy details.-
ObamaClinton was the only person to use the word "crisis" in the Social Security part of the debate."Now that Hillary's won the debate, she can quit with dignity"
Any takers on how long it will take for that line to emerge? I give it 24 hours.
Here's what the voters think, as summarized from my live blogging:
Cross-posted elsewhere... It doesn't matter what the OFB
thinks. What matters is what the voters think:
I watched the Philly TV station (I was live-blogging this, so I hope I get it right, and it all went by fast):
1. UPenn PoliSci students were interviewed. Before the debate, they were either for Obama, or neutral. After the debate, they were strongly pro-Hillary. So at least all college students aren't pro-Obama, by definition.
2. The station polled Undecideds after the debate, and they broke strongly for Hillary, 55 - 45.
3. They also had a focus group wired up to see how they reacted during the debate. For that group, 50% thought Clinton won, and only 27% thought Obama won, with the rest undecided.
So, while the talking heads think it was a draw or at most a TKO for Hillary, the voters seem to think differently. For all I know, this is an under the radar NH moment. And this election, nobody knows anything.
Yeah, I heard the magical gotcha keywords from Hillary on "look at my website" and I thought it was funny how Hillary stole Obama's clothes on that. Of course, since Hillary not only has a website, but has mastered the policy detail, her case is quite different from Obama (and the OFB
), who say "look at my website" exactly because they don't want to master the detail, in te case of the OFB
because they are trained to focus on conversion details; and in the case of Obama because he wants to stay meta. Hope, alas, is not a plan...
NOTE I didn't hear "crisis" on SS, though I might have missed it, typing frantically. In any case, I have endlessly explained that the issue is not one of finding magical gotcha keywords in a sentence. You can look it up. For pity's sake. Freepers do that, because that passes for analytical skill in freeperdom.
[x] Any (D) in the general. [ ] Any mullah-sucking billionaire-teabagging torture-loving pus-encrusted spawn of Cthulhu, bless his (R) heart.
"First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win." -- Mahatma Gandhi
Cling...
to me, far and away the best Clinton moment was her "cling to" response.
You get the crowd with the "grandfather in Scranton" stuff...they know where its going, but they're still paying attention. Obama used his grandmother to get him out of the Wright mess, so nobody can touch Clinton for bringing up her dad.
And the whole "people don't go to church because they are frustrated with the government" line. Perfect. Totally wiped every attempt of Obama to change the subject right off the map. Its a perfect summation about what is wrong with the premise of the Obama campaign -- that its all about process.
And she covers guns, and covers god, and leaves this huge whole where coverign "bigotry" should be, because she doesn't have to say it -- that Obama equated their lifestyle (gun) and their faith (god) with being a racist.
Here's the narrative, then
Thanks to Paul.
Obama's great, but he's just not ready.
[x] Any (D) in the general. [ ] Any mullah-sucking billionaire-teabagging torture-loving pus-encrusted spawn of Cthulhu, bless his (R) heart.
"First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win." -- Mahatma Gandhi
It was even better than that...
It was a lace factory in Scranton. [And, again, only in this country. Just like Obama's story, if it comes to that. Another elegant, classy way of not saying what doesn't need to be said instead of bloviating on. [Gad, I seem to be gushing. Time to go to sleep... It's just so nice to win, and know you won, and at least have students and focus groups and undecided voters agree....]
Yes, she dealt with that "cling to" nonsense in a thorough-going manner -- a right to the solar plexus. It was a pleasure to see.
Now, if they can leverage it...
Now, if there isn't some kind of weird spin in the next news cycle.... Beating up on Bambi...
[x] Any (D) in the general. [ ] Any mullah-sucking billionaire-teabagging torture-loving pus-encrusted spawn of Cthulhu, bless his (R) heart.
"First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win." -- Mahatma Gandhi
I brought up crisis and website
as an observation of Corrente-specific irony. Nothing more. Anyway, HRC's website referrals were most likely to promote fundraising.
The context of "crisis" was in reference to 1983. But if you squint hard enough, it might have been phrased in a way that implied a new crisis looms now. Personally I don't think that's what she meant.
I call this an admission
that Hillary won big:
Botton line: meh. I don’t think the presidential race changes much at all after this debate.
------------------------------------------------
"If I was Vice-President, you know what I'd do?
Pretty much anything I wanted to!
Vote for me!" - Joe Walsh (channeling Dick Cheney)
x
------------------------------------------------
“I don't belong to any organized political party. I'm a Democrat.” - Will Rogers
He disowned Wright?
---I thought I heard Obama say, in response to George S., that he disowned Rev. Wright.
Did I really hear that?
BTW, this is kind of funny:
www.youtube.com/watch?v=LvUNFmB7]l8
kc
If Obama thinks lobbyists are icky....
From Talk Left:
"Barack Obama released his tax return today. He earned $4.2 million.
In tax returns the campaign released Wednesday, the Obamas reported a significant jump in their income from the previous year as profits from the books "Dreams From My Father" and "The Audacity of Hope" accounted for some $4 million. The Obamas paid federal taxes of $1.4 million and donated $240,370 to charity.
Their salaried income was $260,735, which include his $157,102 salary as a U.S. senator and hers of $103,633 as vice president of community and external affairs at the University of Chicago Medical Center."
Community and corporate affairs? Doesn't that mean Lobbyist, in regular joe speak?
If BHO gets elected, how will Mrs. Obama recuse herself from lobbying duties, in the White House?
Sorry,
---got the above link wrong-will check it
kc
it was network, not cable, so the audience
should have been larger than past ones, no?
gps
It was a lace factory in Scranton.
well, I personally loved that detail, but because my grandmother worked in a lace factory in camden starting when she was a girl.
Did everyone's grandparents work in lace factories? How damn much lace did they need back then?
"wrong on virtually every count"
--NYT op-ed -- http://www.nytimes.com/2008/04/17/opinio...
"... This is a remarkably detailed and vivid account of the political sociology of the American electorate. What is even more remarkable is that it is wrong on virtually every count.
Small-town people of modest means and limited education are not fixated on cultural issues. Rather, it is affluent, college-educated people living in cities and suburbs who are most exercised by guns and religion. In contemporary American politics, social issues are the opiate of the elites.
..."
One of these things is not like the other
What does the fact that Bill Clinton pardoned members of the Weather Underground have anything to do with Hillary Clinton? I know the OFB
likes to act like they are really some two headed beasts out of Greek mythology, really, just b/c Bill Clinton did something, doesn't mean she should get tarred with it.
Bill Clinton for First Dude!!!
He who will not reason is a bigot; he who cannot is a fool; and he who dares not is a slave.
- Sir William Drummond
and how is "Clintons did it too" any kind of answer?
it's just the exact same mudslinging distractions that are the "old kind of politics" he pretends not to do.
Actually, "The Clintons did it too"
is the standard right-wing defense to everything.
------------------------------------------------
"If I was Vice-President, you know what I'd do?
Pretty much anything I wanted to!
Vote for me!" - Joe Walsh (channeling Dick Cheney)
x
------------------------------------------------
“I don't belong to any organized political party. I'm a Democrat.” - Will Rogers
The problem, Aeryl
is that HRC hasn't made an adequate distinction between her and her husband's accomplishments. She wants to own all the good and none of the bad from Bill's administration. She runs on the economically prosperous '90s, says "It takes a Clinton to clean up after a Bush" and claims CiC experience. But when it comes to NAFTA, DOMA, DADT...etc, its her husband, not her. And with regard to pardons, we have no idea what her role was. This is an area where she has not been vetted.
Now, Hillary chose to extend the debate on Ayers and WU. She extrapolated Steph's question to include the board membership. I don't think its out of line at all for Obama to build a glass house around her stone throwing by bringing up the pardons. Not while her White House experience is a centerpiece of her campaign.
Its not "the Clintons did it too"
Its "let's get some perspective". Sitting on a charity board with a former WU member is not equal to pardoning two convicted WU members.
Mana: Which one did she do?
BTW - Obama tried to pass it off by saying Ayers was an English Professor and they lived in the same neighborhood and their kids went to the same schools.
Ayers' kids are grown now, Obama's are in K-6
------------------------------------------------
"If I was Vice-President, you know what I'd do?
Pretty much anything I wanted to!
Vote for me!" - Joe Walsh (channeling Dick Cheney)
x
------------------------------------------------
“I don't belong to any organized political party. I'm a Democrat.” - Will Rogers
it's not “let’s get some perspective” when it's against
your opponent and it's something you want out there as an equivalent and/or distraction to help yourself and to change the subject.
he did it last night with the "baking cookies" thing and with the pardons thing.
manah--he lied about his connections to Ayers-
and said he was 8 years old--when they've known each other for ages and he's held fundraisers for him. Pointing out they served on that board together is pointing out his lie--something he loves to do to her all the time.
He lied the same way about Rezko, and still lies about Wright.
manahmanah, why are you still flogging NAFTA?
Carl Bernstein, frequent detractor of Hillary and her ankles, acknowledges that she was strongly opposed to NAFTA.
As unremittingly evil as the Clinton presidency was, I think we'll have to give her a pass on that one.
Silly VL!
Because it's an Obama talking point!
[x] Any (D) in the general. [ ] Any mullah-sucking billionaire-teabagging torture-loving pus-encrusted spawn of Cthulhu, bless his (R) heart.
"First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win." -- Mahatma Gandhi
One of these things is not like the other, redux
It is perfectly valid for Clinton to claim that her unique perspective of the Clinton administration will be a strength. She was there, on the ground when decisions and policies were implemented. And now, eight years after the conclusion of the Clinton admin, she is in a unique position to assess what worked, and what didn't.
Which is totally seperate and unrelated to Bill Clinton's choice of pardons. Plus, Clinton chose to pardon them at the end of his administration, when it wouldn't be a political liablity for him anymore, while Obama chose to associate with Ayers, knowing it would be a liability later. And who's supposed to have great judgement?
Bill Clinton for First Dude!!!
He who will not reason is a bigot; he who cannot is a fool; and he who dares not is a slave.
- Sir William Drummond