Will non-Democrats pick the Democratic candidate in Iowa?

lambert's picture

Maybe so. If you believe Shailagh Murray, and that's a very big if, that's the message of the Des Moines Register poll:

With two days before Iowans go to the polls, significant support for Sen. Barack Obama from political independents has put rival Democratic campaigns on edge, challenging the traditional model of the state's caucuses as a low-turnout exercise dominated by partisan insiders.

(I love Shailagh's spin on this; she could have said "Democratic voters," but no: "Partisan insiders." I mean, 125,000 voters is rather a lot of "insiders," wouldn't you say?)

But if this is correct, Obama's rightward slide is part of it:

After all, low information voters would tend to respond more to Republican talking points and vacuous but high-flown appeals to "unity." And Republicans would definitely want to vote for somebody who promises not to hold their party accountable. Clever strategy, which might win Obama a mandate, if the press ends up calling it that way, but which can't yield a progressive mandate, because it doesn't call for one. Eh?

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Ruth's picture

Old Trick

Actually, my concern is that not just 'independents' but GoPervs will determine the Dem candidate. All the caucus participants have to do to vote for a Dem candidate is to declare that they are Democrats. I have known GoPervs who voted in the Dem primary to choose the candidate they considered the least electable. In this particular contest, with their racist base, that might well be Obama, because they will expect him to be rejected by the once-silent nasty majority that they think forms America. Ruth

Ruth

The 2008 Presidential Elections!

Brought to you by:

The Corporatocracy--ensuring that you, the voter, have as little as possible to do with actually having a say in the process!

The Village--specializing for twenty years in remolding reality so that it fits OUR needs!

aaaand the Kabuki--an ongoing subsidiary of both--increasingly a house of cards, but we've kept it going for a loooong time and we ain't gonna stop now!

***

there was, from the outset, only one acceptable outcome (support of the status quo) and only a very few acceptable players. Obama is one of them. Bloomy is probably another. Rudy, Romney, and McCain.

lambert's picture

And how about those entrance polls!

Did you notice that our famously free press is actually going to conduc and broadcast entrance polls while the caucuses go on?

Way to create big mo for anybody but Edwards, and way to screw anybody who's also working for second place votes. Er, that would be Edwards.

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